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Challenger TarantoChallenger 50Finalhardbest of three sets

Feldbausch vs Martineau 0:2: result and our tips

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Kilian FeldbauschATP #262Elo 1798hard 1734
0:2final3:6 2:6
Matteo MartineauATP #244Elo 1705hard 1722

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Lost65%

Where the number comes from: market alone 68% → with the players' profiles 65%

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Feldbausch 14 of 20, Martineau 16 of 20 (tour average 62%); Feldbausch: 6 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: FeldbauschLost57%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Feldbausch: 5 matches in a row winning the first set

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost41%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Feldbausch 8 of 20, Martineau 11 of 20 (tour average 37%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Kilian Feldbausch59%
Matteo Martineau42%

Elo: K. Feldbausch 52% · M. Martineau 48%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Feldbausch38%
2:1 K. Feldbausch21%
2:1 M. Martineau17%
2:0 M. Martineau25%

First set

Kilian Feldbausch56%
Matteo Martineau44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 55%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%71%
19.565%35%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.545%55%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 6,086 matches

Games handicap

K. Feldbausch −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Kilian FeldbauschMatteo Martineau
1Aces5
0Double faults1
63%First serves in75%
61%First-serve points won76%
39%Second-serve points won43%
1/4Break points converted4/7
4/8Service games held8/9
53%Service points won68%
32%Return points won47%
44Total points won61

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. FeldbauschTourM. Martineau
Service points won60%62%63%
Return points won45%38%36%
Service games held73%76%79%
Breaks of serve39%24%21%
Aces per service game0.170.51
Double faults per game0.250.30
Sets with a tie-break18%25%
Tie-breaks won9/2318/38
Wins in straight sets72%52%
Matches in the sample5463

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Kilian Feldbausch

Matteo Martineau

Elo over the last year

Kilian FeldbauschMatteo Martineau

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. FeldbauschM. Martineau
Hard court6–460%25–1858%
Clay30–1468%8–1240%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Kilian Feldbausch

Matteo Martineau

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