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Challenger TarantoChallenger 50Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Martineau vs Montes-de la Torre 2:0: result and our tips

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Matteo MartineauATP #244Elo 1644hard 1659
2:0final6:4 6:4
Inaki Montes-de la TorreATP #191Elo 1736hard 1729

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won74%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Martineau: 9 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Lost46%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Martineau: 3 matches in a row over 22.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Matteo Martineau37%
Inaki Montes-de la Torre63%

Elo: M. Martineau 40% · I. Montes-de la Torre 60%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Martineau21%
2:1 M. Martineau16%
2:1 I. Montes-de la Torre22%
2:0 I. Montes-de la Torre41%

First set

Matteo Martineau41%
Inaki Montes-de la Torre60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%71%
19.566%35%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.553%47%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.541%60%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,848 matches

Games handicap

I. Montes-de la Torre −2.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes33%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Matteo MartineauInaki Montes-de la Torre
5Aces0
2Double faults3
66%First serves in61%
76%First-serve points won58%
42%Second-serve points won44%
4/9Break points converted2/6
8/10Service games held6/10
64%Service points won53%
47%Return points won36%
69Total points won57

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. MartineauTourI. Montes-de la Torre
Service points won64%62%61%
Return points won36%38%43%
Service games held80%76%75%
Breaks of serve20%24%34%
Aces per service game0.510.21
Double faults per game0.310.43
Sets with a tie-break26%11%
Tie-breaks won18/3812/13
Wins in straight sets52%65%
Matches in the sample5951

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Matteo Martineau

Inaki Montes-de la Torre

Elo over the last year

Matteo MartineauInaki Montes-de la Torre

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. MartineauI. Montes-de la Torre
Hard court21–1854%18–869%
Clay8–1240%16–964%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also