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Challenger KnoxvilleChallenger 75Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Draxl vs Chan: prediction and tips

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Liam DraxlATP #168Elo 1817hard 1803
-:-
Duncan ChanATP #470Elo 1560hard 1545

Our tips

Tip in 19h 55m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Liam Draxl78%
Duncan Chan22%

Elo: L. Draxl 82% · D. Chan 19%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Draxl56%
2:1 L. Draxl22%
2:1 D. Chan10%
2:0 D. Chan12%

First set

Liam Draxl72%
Duncan Chan28%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no69%

Total games

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%79%
18.567%33%71%
19.558%42%62%
20.550%50%54%
21.544%56%49%
22.538%62%42%
23.533%67%37%

Sample: 3,423 matches

Games handicap

L. Draxl −4.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. DraxlTourD. Chan
Service points won62%62%60%
Return points won40%38%39%
Service games held74%76%74%
Breaks of serve28%24%25%
Aces per service game0.420.34
Double faults per game0.240.32
Sets with a tie-break18%16%
Tie-breaks won15/304/8
Wins in straight sets45%46%
Matches in the sample6721

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Liam Draxl

Duncan Chan

  • 01/11/26LAidan Mayo#285Challenger Charlottesville · Q14:6 4:6
  • 25/10/26LBenjamin Willwerth#779Challenger Sioux Falls · Q16:7 5:7
  • 19/10/26LGavin Young#530Challenger Fort Worth · Q26:4 1:6 4:6
  • 18/10/26WRoger Pascual Ferra#690Challenger Fort Worth · Q17:6 2:6 6:3
  • 29/09/26LColton Smith#218Challenger Columbus · R322:6 4:6
  • 28/09/26WKeaton Hance#765Challenger Columbus · Q26:3 6:2
  • 27/09/26WDenis PetakChallenger Columbus · Q16:7 6:3 7:6
  • 19/08/26LTaro Daniel#178Challenger Quebec City · R323:6 2:6
  • 04/08/26LThiago Agustin Tirante#53ATP Montreal · R1283:6 6:1 6:7
  • 01/08/26WHugo Gaston#109ATP Montreal · Q12:6 7:5 6:3

Elo over the last year

Liam DraxlDuncan Chan

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. DraxlD. Chan
Hard court33–2062%11–1052%
Clay7–654%0–0
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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