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WTA 125 SopoRound of 16claybest of three sets

Samson vs Costoulas 2:0: result and our tips

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Laura SamsonWTA #119Elo 1641clay 1671
2:0final6:2 6:2
Sofia CostoulasWTA #183Elo 1536clay 1548

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Lost64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Samson 15 of 20, Costoulas 13 of 20 (tour average 59%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: SamsonWon72%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 72%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Costoulas lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Won45%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Costoulas: 4 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Laura Samson72%
Sofia Costoulas28%

Elo: L. Samson 67% · S. Costoulas 33%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Samson49%
2:1 L. Samson23%
2:1 S. Costoulas14%
2:0 S. Costoulas15%

First set

Laura Samson64%
Sofia Costoulas36%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.572%28%68%
18.564%36%59%
19.555%45%52%
20.549%51%45%
21.545%55%41%
22.541%60%37%
23.536%64%33%

Sample: 1,261 matches

Games handicap

L. Samson −4.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes20%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 20.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Laura SamsonSofia Costoulas
2Aces1
4Double faults0
50%First serves in64%
81%First-serve points won47%
54%Second-serve points won44%
4/7Break points converted0/3
8/8Service games held4/8
67%Service points won46%
54%Return points won33%
62Total points won40

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. SamsonTourS. Costoulas
Service points won54%56%58%
Return points won48%44%43%
Service games held61%63%69%
Breaks of serve41%37%35%
Aces per service game0.220.30
Double faults per game0.550.29
Sets with a tie-break14%8%
Tie-breaks won7/153/7
Wins in straight sets52%70%
Matches in the sample4741

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Laura Samson

Sofia Costoulas

Elo over the last year

Laura SamsonSofia Costoulas

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. SamsonS. Costoulas
Hard court0–50%13–1252%
Clay27–1466%7–847%
Grass0–10%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Laura Samson

Sofia Costoulas

Upcoming matches

See also