Maestrelli vs Caniato: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 55% → with the players' profiles 57%
Caniato: 3 matches in a row over 21.5 games
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Maestrelli lost the first set in 10 of the last 20 matches, Caniato won the first set in 17 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: F. Maestrelli 57% · C. Caniato 43%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 72% | 28% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 64% | 36% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 57% | 43% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 51% | 49% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 44% | 56% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 41% | 59% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 62% | 32% |
Sample: 5,927 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| F. Maestrelli | Tour | C. Caniato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 84% |
| Breaks of serve | 20% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 0.58 | 0.42 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.28 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 15/29 | 8/22 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 78% | |
| Matches in the sample | 59 | 48 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Francesco Maestrelli
- 05/11/26WPeter Makk#537Challenger Taranto · R166:3 6:2
- 03/11/26WFrancesco Forti#322Challenger Taranto · R326:3 6:2
- 30/10/26LMoise Kouame#132Challenger Brest · QF3:6 4:6
- 28/10/26WGabriel Diallo#169Challenger Brest · R166:4 2:2
- 27/10/26WMoez Echargui#349Challenger Brest · R327:6 6:3
- 18/10/26LBorna Gojo#133ATP Lyon · Q16:4 3:6 6:7
- 15/10/26LMaxim Mrva#231Challenger Olbia · R163:6 4:6
- 13/10/26WMili Poljicak#276Challenger Olbia · R326:2 6:3
- 06/10/26LOliver Tarvet#275Challenger Villena · R326:4 3:6 4:6
- 21/09/26LAndrea Guerrieri#166Challenger Saint Tropez · R323:6 7:6 3:6
Carlo Alberto Caniato
- 05/11/26WPhilip Henning#236Challenger Taranto · R164:6 6:1 7:6
- 03/11/26WLorenzo Giustino#272Challenger Taranto · R327:6 6:4
- 21/10/26LMarco Trungelliti#91Challenger Lisbon · R166:4 6:7 3:6
- 19/10/26WDiogo MoraisChallenger Lisbon · R326:0 6:3
- 15/10/26LMarvin Moeller#227Challenger Catania · R164:6 6:3 2:6
- 13/10/26WDaniel Siniakov#500Challenger Catania · R326:3 6:2
- 08/10/26LFrancesco Passaro#153Challenger Palermo · R166:4 3:6 4:6
- 06/10/26WMax Wiskandt#382Challenger Palermo · R326:2 6:3
- 27/09/26LLuka Mikrut#251Challenger Genoa 2 · F4:6 5:7
- 26/09/26WFrancesco Forti#322Challenger Genoa 2 · SF6:2 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| F. Maestrelli | C. Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 26–1859% | 2–340% |
| Clay | 2–1017% | 25–1858% |
| Grass | 0–30% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Francesco Maestrelli
- 03/11/26WFrancesco Forti#322Challenger Taranto · R326:3 6:2
- 05/11/26WPeter Makk#537Challenger Taranto · R166:3 6:2
Carlo Alberto Caniato
- 03/11/26WLorenzo Giustino#272Challenger Taranto · R327:6 6:4
- 05/11/26WPhilip Henning#236Challenger Taranto · R164:6 6:1 7:6
Upcoming matches
- Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva, · Challenger Costa do Sauipe
- Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh, · Challenger Charlottesville
- Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat, · Challenger Taipei
- Alexandra Shubladze vs Claire Liu, · WTA Hong Kong
- Coleman Wong vs Yosuke Watanuki, · Challenger Taipei
- Felix Gill vs Matteo Martineau, · Challenger Taranto