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Challenger TarantoChallenger 50Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Maestrelli vs Forti 2:0: result and our tips

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Francesco MaestrelliATP #176Elo 1641hard 1651
2:0final6:3 6:2
Francesco FortiATP #322Elo 1657hard 1586

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

How our tips did

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Francesco Maestrelli64%
Francesco Forti36%

Elo: F. Maestrelli 59% · F. Forti 41%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Maestrelli42%
2:1 F. Maestrelli22%
2:1 F. Forti16%
2:0 F. Forti21%

First set

Francesco Maestrelli60%
Francesco Forti40%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.548%52%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,789 matches

Games handicap

F. Maestrelli −2.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes37%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Francesco MaestrelliFrancesco Forti
5Aces3
1Double faults3
65%First serves in70%
77%First-serve points won54%
47%Second-serve points won35%
5/7Break points converted1/2
7/8Service games held4/9
67%Service points won49%
52%Return points won33%
66Total points won48

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. MaestrelliTourF. Forti
Service points won63%62%63%
Return points won36%38%40%
Service games held79%76%77%
Breaks of serve20%24%27%
Aces per service game0.580.42
Double faults per game0.280.19
Sets with a tie-break21%20%
Tie-breaks won15/2913/25
Wins in straight sets58%65%
Matches in the sample5752

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Francesco Maestrelli

Francesco Forti

Elo over the last year

Francesco MaestrelliFrancesco Forti

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. MaestrelliF. Forti
Hard court24–1857%2–250%
Clay2–1017%29–1960%
Grass0–30%0–0

Head to head

F. Maestrelli 1–1 F. Forti

  • 08/08/23Winner: F. Maestrelli6:2 6:4
  • 23/11/21Winner: F. Forti4:6 6:4 3:6

Upcoming matches

See also