Noguchi vs Hsu: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Under 23.5 games in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches
Other tips
- Total Sets: Under 2.561%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
No third set in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches
- Tie-break in Match: No70%
Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 70%
No tie-break in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches
Where the number comes from: market alone 40% → with the players' profiles 43%
Under 20.5 games in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: R. Noguchi 53% · Y. Hsu 47%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 72% | 28% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 64% | 36% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 43% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 51% | 49% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 45% | 55% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
Sample: 5,464 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| R. Noguchi | Tour | Y. Hsu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 42% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 72% | 76% | 74% |
| Breaks of serve | 31% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.13 | 0.27 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.17 | 0.18 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/19 | 8/12 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 64 | 46 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Rio Noguchi
- 13/11/26WTaro Daniel#172Challenger Matsuyama · QF7:6 6:3
- 12/11/26WYi Zhou#279Challenger Matsuyama · R166:4 6:4
- 10/11/26WDaniel Michalski#315Challenger Matsuyama · R327:6 6:1
- 27/10/26LAlibek Kachmazov#347Challenger Seoul · R323:6 1:6
- 20/10/26LKasidit Samrej#375Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:2 1:6 6:7
- 05/10/26LAlexandre Muller#153ATP Shanghai · Q13:6 6:4 1:6
- 23/09/26LDalibor Svrcina#112ATP Hangzhou · Q24:6 1:6
- 22/09/26WMasamichi Imamura#439ATP Hangzhou · Q16:1 6:4
- 18/09/26LPavel Kotov#167Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · QF1:6 6:7
- 16/09/26WColin Sinclair#479Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R166:3 6:3
Yu Hsiou Hsu
- 13/11/26WJay Friend#256Challenger Matsuyama · QF6:1 2:6 7:6
- 11/11/26WNiels McDonald#472Challenger Matsuyama · R166:3 6:3
- 09/11/26WKeegan Smith#189Challenger Matsuyama · R326:3 6:3
- 03/11/26LOmar Jasika#301Challenger Taipei · R321:6 6:3 4:6
- 31/10/26LYaroslav Demin#361Challenger Ningbo · SF5:7 6:1 4:6
- 30/10/26WMert Alkaya#319Challenger Ningbo · QF6:3 6:3
- 28/10/26WYuta Shimizu#362Challenger Ningbo · R167:5 3:6 6:4
- 27/10/26WKeegan Smith#189Challenger Ningbo · R324:6 7:5 7:6
- 20/10/26LJie Cui#368Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R322:6 4:6
- 08/09/26LIlya Ivashka#223Challenger Shanghai · R323:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| R. Noguchi | Y. Hsu | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 33–2161% | 17–1750% |
| Clay | 1–233% | 3–443% |
| Grass | 3–443% | 2–433% |
Head to head
R. Noguchi 2–1 Y. Hsu
- 29/04/26Winner: R. Noguchi7:5 6:2
- 15/05/24Winner: Y. Hsu1:6 4:6
- 14/11/23Winner: R. Noguchi6:4 6:3
Road through the tournament
Rio Noguchi
- 10/11/26WDaniel Michalski#315Challenger Matsuyama · R327:6 6:1
- 12/11/26WYi Zhou#279Challenger Matsuyama · R166:4 6:4
- 13/11/26WTaro Daniel#172Challenger Matsuyama · QF7:6 6:3
Yu Hsiou Hsu
- 09/11/26WKeegan Smith#189Challenger Matsuyama · R326:3 6:3
- 11/11/26WNiels McDonald#472Challenger Matsuyama · R166:3 6:3
- 13/11/26WJay Friend#256Challenger Matsuyama · QF6:1 2:6 7:6
Upcoming matches
- Rei Sakamoto vs Billy Harris, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren, · Challenger Brisbane 3
- Juncheng Shang vs Christian Langmo, · Challenger Brisbane 3
- Ben Shelton vs Rafael Jodar, · ATP Tour Finals Turin
- Alexander Zverev vs Arthur Fils, · ATP Tour Finals Turin
- Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton, · ATP Tour Finals Turin