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ATP Tour Finals TurinFinalsRound robinhard, indoorbest of three sets

Zverev vs Fils: prediction and tips

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Alexander ZverevATP #1Elo 2246hard 2201
-:-
Arthur FilsATP #7Elo 2182hard 2133

Our tips

Tip in 4d 7h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from Elo (no market). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Alexander Zverev60%
Arthur Fils40%

Elo: A. Zverev 60% · A. Fils 40%

from Elo (no market)

Set score

2:0 A. Zverev37%
2:1 A. Zverev21%
2:1 A. Fils17%
2:0 A. Fils25%

First set

Alexander Zverev56%
Arthur Fils44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

Expected total: 24.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.570%30%59%
21.562%38%53%
22.557%43%45%
23.549%51%39%
24.543%58%38%
25.540%60%34%
26.537%63%30%

Sample: 16,290 matches

Games handicap

A. Zverev −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes52%

tour average 37%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. ZverevTourA. Fils
Service points won71%62%67%
Return points won37%38%37%
Service games held90%76%85%
Breaks of serve22%24%22%
Aces per service game0.720.50
Double faults per game0.170.19
Sets with a tie-break24%22%
Tie-breaks won36/5418/29
Wins in straight sets59%66%
Matches in the sample7857

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alexander Zverev

Arthur Fils

Elo over the last year

Alexander ZverevArthur Fils

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. ZverevA. Fils
Hard court32–1174%31–1370%
Clay20–483%9–282%
Grass9–282%1–150%

Head to head

A. Zverev 5–2 A. Fils

  • 12/03/26Winner: A. Zverev6:2 6:3
  • 13/05/25Winner: A. Zverev7:6 6:1
  • 26/03/25Winner: A. Fils6:3 3:6 4:6
  • 31/10/24Winner: A. Zverev6:4 3:6 6:3
  • 21/07/24Winner: A. Fils3:6 6:3 6:7
  • 21/06/24Winner: A. Zverev6:7 6:3 6:4
  • 29/07/23Winner: A. Zverev6:2 6:4

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