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ATP Tour Finals TurinFinalsRound robinhard, indoorbest of three sets

Zverev vs Jodar: prediction and tips

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Alexander ZverevATP #1Elo 2246hard 2201
-:-
Rafael JodarATP #11Elo 2138hard 2082

Our tips

Tip in 2d 9h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Alexander Zverev69%
Rafael Jodar31%

Elo: A. Zverev 67% · R. Jodar 34%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Zverev46%
2:1 A. Zverev23%
2:1 R. Jodar13%
2:0 R. Jodar18%

First set

Alexander Zverev64%
Rafael Jodar36%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

Expected total: 24.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.574%26%68%
20.566%34%60%
21.559%41%54%
22.553%47%46%
23.545%55%40%
24.540%61%38%
25.537%63%35%

Sample: 5,089 matches

Games handicap

A. Zverev −3.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes48%

tour average 39%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. ZverevTourR. Jodar
Service points won71%62%64%
Return points won37%38%40%
Service games held90%76%81%
Breaks of serve22%24%30%
Aces per service game0.720.39
Double faults per game0.170.18
Sets with a tie-break24%13%
Tie-breaks won36/5411/26
Wins in straight sets59%60%
Matches in the sample7879

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alexander Zverev

Rafael Jodar

Elo over the last year

Alexander ZverevRafael Jodar

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. ZverevR. Jodar
Hard court32–1174%37–1670%
Clay20–483%19–483%
Grass9–282%2–167%

Head to head

A. Zverev 1–0 R. Jodar

  • 02/06/26Winner: A. Zverev7:6 6:1 6:3

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