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ATP Tour Finals TurinFinalsRound robinhard, indoorbest of three sets

Medvedev vs Cobolli: prediction and tips

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Daniil MedvedevATP #5Elo 2146hard 2134
-:-
Flavio CobolliATP #6Elo 2056hard 1999

Our tips

Tip in 3d 11h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Daniil Medvedev78%
Flavio Cobolli22%

Elo: D. Medvedev 69% · F. Cobolli 32%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Medvedev55%
2:1 D. Medvedev22%
2:1 F. Cobolli12%
2:0 F. Cobolli12%

First set

Daniil Medvedev72%
Flavio Cobolli28%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.576%24%76%
19.568%32%68%
20.559%41%60%
21.553%47%54%
22.545%55%46%
23.539%61%40%
24.537%63%38%

Sample: 3,479 matches

Games handicap

D. Medvedev −4.545%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes41%

tour average 39%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. MedvedevTourF. Cobolli
Service points won66%62%63%
Return points won41%38%37%
Service games held84%76%79%
Breaks of serve28%24%21%
Aces per service game0.730.49
Double faults per game0.320.22
Sets with a tie-break16%18%
Tie-breaks won10/2817/27
Wins in straight sets69%46%
Matches in the sample7157

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Daniil Medvedev

Flavio Cobolli

Elo over the last year

Daniil MedvedevFlavio Cobolli

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. MedvedevF. Cobolli
Hard court41–1277%17–1357%
Clay5–456%14–767%
Grass6–367%4–267%

Head to head

D. Medvedev 2–1 F. Cobolli

  • 28/04/26Winner: F. Cobolli3:6 7:5 4:6
  • 30/09/24Winner: D. Medvedev6:2 6:4
  • 01/09/24Winner: D. Medvedev6:3 6:4 6:3

Upcoming matches

See also