ATP Tour Finals TurinFinalsRound robinhard, indoorbest of three sets
Shelton vs Fils: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 2d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Ben Shelton57%
Arthur Fils43%
Elo: B. Shelton 53% · A. Fils 47%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 B. Shelton36%
2:1 B. Shelton21%
2:1 A. Fils19%
2:0 A. Fils24%
First set
Ben Shelton55%
Arthur Fils45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%
Total games
Expected total: 25.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.5 | 67% | 33% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 62% | 39% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 54% | 46% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 47% | 53% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 44% | 56% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 41% | 59% | 30% |
| 27.5 | 36% | 64% | 28% |
Sample: 6,088 matches
Games handicap
B. Shelton −1.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes56%
tour average 39%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| B. Shelton | Tour | A. Fils | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 70% | 62% | 67% |
| Return points won | 33% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 89% | 76% | 85% |
| Breaks of serve | 15% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.74 | 0.50 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 29% | 22% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 31/52 | 18/29 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 66% | |
| Matches in the sample | 63 | 57 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Ben Shelton
- 08/11/26LCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP Paris · F6:7 5:7
- 07/11/26WLuca Van Assche#34ATP Paris · SF5:7 6:3 6:4
- 06/11/26WTommy Paul#13ATP Paris · QF6:4 4:6 6:3
- 05/11/26WArthur Rinderknech#58ATP Paris · R163:6 6:4 7:6
- 03/11/26WCameron Norrie#53ATP Paris · R326:3 6:4
- 29/10/26LJerome Kym#143ATP Basel · R163:6 7:6 6:7
- 27/10/26WAleksandar Kovacevic#83ATP Basel · R326:7 7:6 7:6
- 11/10/26LArthur Gea#47ATP Shanghai · R326:7 6:7
- 09/10/26WDaniel Altmaier#73ATP Shanghai · R646:3 7:6
- 13/09/26LAlexander Zverev#1ATP US Open · F3:6 6:7 7:5 2:6
Arthur Fils
- 05/11/26LTaylor Fritz#10ATP Paris · R163:6 4:6
- 04/11/26WTomáš Macháč#60ATP Paris · R326:3 7:6
- 30/10/26LTaylor Fritz#10ATP Basel · QF2:6 0:2
- 29/10/26WAlex Michelsen#35ATP Basel · R164:6 6:3 7:6
- 27/10/26WGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard#140ATP Basel · R327:6 7:5
- 24/10/26LJan-Lennard Struff#37ATP Brussels · SF4:6 7:6 6:7
- 23/10/26WAlex Michelsen#35ATP Brussels · QF6:4 7:6
- 12/10/26LBotic Van de Zandschulp#40ATP Shanghai · R325:7 4:6
- 10/10/26WPavel Kotov#167ATP Shanghai · R646:3 6:4
- 04/10/26LValentin Vacherot#27ATP Tokyo · QF5:7 6:4 4:6
Elo over the last year
Ben SheltonArthur Fils
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| B. Shelton | A. Fils | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 31–1174% | 31–1370% |
| Clay | 8–562% | 9–282% |
| Grass | 6–275% | 1–150% |
Head to head
B. Shelton 1–1 A. Fils
- 26/10/24Winner: B. Shelton6:3 7:6
- 29/09/24Winner: A. Fils5:7 7:6 6:7
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