ATP ParisMasters 1000Semifinalhard, indoorbest of three sets
Van Assche vs Shelton: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 14h 4mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Luca Van Assche21%
Ben Shelton79%
Elo: L. Van Assche 25% · B. Shelton 75%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 L. Van Assche11%
2:1 L. Van Assche11%
2:1 B. Shelton21%
2:0 B. Shelton56%
First set
Luca Van Assche27%
Ben Shelton73%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%
Total games
Expected total: 23.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 71% | 29% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 62% | 38% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 54% | 46% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 48% | 52% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 34% | 66% | 35% |
Sample: 3,182 matches
Games handicap
B. Shelton −4.546%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes45%
tour average 38%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Van Assche | Tour | B. Shelton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 70% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 33% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 89% |
| Breaks of serve | 29% | 24% | 15% |
| Aces per service game | 0.35 | 0.73 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.30 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 30% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/24 | 31/53 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 46% | |
| Matches in the sample | 76 | 63 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Luca Van Assche
- 06/11/26WRinky Hijikata#83ATP Paris · QF6:4 6:7 7:5
- 05/11/26WLorenzo Musetti#24ATP Paris · R167:5 3:6 6:4
- 04/11/26WLearner Tien#19ATP Paris · R327:6 6:4
- 02/11/26WMariano Navone#48ATP Paris · R646:3 7:5
- 26/10/26LLearner Tien#19ATP Vienna · R323:6 1:6
- 23/10/26LLorenzo Musetti#24ATP Lyon · QF6:7 7:6 4:6
- 22/10/26WValentin Vacherot#27ATP Lyon · R162:6 6:4 6:4
- 20/10/26WClement Tabur#156ATP Lyon · R327:6 6:3
- 08/10/26LYunchaokete Bu#93ATP Shanghai · R1286:7 3:6
- 30/09/26LArthur Fils#7ATP Tokyo · R323:6 2:6
Ben Shelton
- 06/11/26WTommy Paul#14ATP Paris · QF6:4 4:6 6:3
- 05/11/26WArthur Rinderknech#68ATP Paris · R163:6 6:4 7:6
- 03/11/26WCameron Norrie#45ATP Paris · R326:3 6:4
- 29/10/26LJerome Kym#164ATP Basel · R163:6 7:6 6:7
- 27/10/26WAleksandar Kovacevic#84ATP Basel · R326:7 7:6 7:6
- 11/10/26LArthur Gea#44ATP Shanghai · R326:7 6:7
- 09/10/26WDaniel Altmaier#63ATP Shanghai · R646:3 7:6
- 13/09/26LAlexander Zverev#1ATP US Open · F3:6 6:7 7:5 2:6
- 11/09/26WFrances Tiafoe#8ATP US Open · SF4:6 6:3 6:3 7:5
- 09/09/26WCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP US Open · QF6:7 6:1 6:3 1:6 7:6
Elo over the last year
Luca Van AsscheBen Shelton
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Van Assche | B. Shelton | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 32–1568% | 30–1271% |
| Clay | 18–1064% | 8–562% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 6–275% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Luca Van Assche
- 02/11/26WMariano Navone#48ATP Paris · R646:3 7:5
- 04/11/26WLearner Tien#19ATP Paris · R327:6 6:4
- 05/11/26WLorenzo Musetti#24ATP Paris · R167:5 3:6 6:4
- 06/11/26WRinky Hijikata#83ATP Paris · QF6:4 6:7 7:5
Ben Shelton
- 03/11/26WCameron Norrie#45ATP Paris · R326:3 6:4
- 05/11/26WArthur Rinderknech#68ATP Paris · R163:6 6:4 7:6
- 06/11/26WTommy Paul#14ATP Paris · QF6:4 4:6 6:3
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