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ATP ParisMasters 1000Quarterfinalhard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Van Assche vs Hijikata: prediction and tips

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Luca Van AsscheATP #47Elo 1988hard 1957
-:-awaiting result
Rinky HijikataATP #83Elo 1953hard 1919

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Luca Van Assche61%
Rinky Hijikata39%

Elo: L. Van Assche 55% · R. Hijikata 45%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Van Assche38%
2:1 L. Van Assche22%
2:1 R. Hijikata18%
2:0 R. Hijikata22%

First set

Luca Van Assche58%
Rinky Hijikata42%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.571%29%68%
20.563%37%60%
21.558%42%54%
22.549%51%46%
23.543%57%40%
24.542%58%39%
25.538%62%35%

Sample: 6,033 matches

Games handicap

L. Van Assche −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes40%

tour average 39%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. Van AsscheTourR. Hijikata
Service points won62%62%63%
Return points won41%38%37%
Service games held77%76%79%
Breaks of serve30%24%23%
Aces per service game0.340.40
Double faults per game0.310.21
Sets with a tie-break13%20%
Tie-breaks won11/2324/40
Wins in straight sets59%57%
Matches in the sample7580

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Luca Van Assche

Rinky Hijikata

Elo over the last year

Luca Van AsscheRinky Hijikata

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. Van AsscheR. Hijikata
Hard court31–1567%34–2261%
Clay18–1064%6–746%
Grass0–10%7–464%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Luca Van Assche

Rinky Hijikata

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