Van Assche vs Tien: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Van Assche lost the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches, Tien won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: L. Van Assche 33% · L. Tien 67%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 70% | 30% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 62% | 38% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 57% | 43% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 48% | 52% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 37% | 63% | 35% |
Sample: 5,766 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Van Assche | Tour | L. Tien | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 80% |
| Breaks of serve | 30% | 24% | 25% |
| Aces per service game | 0.33 | 0.44 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.31 | 0.28 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 10/22 | 21/29 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 48% | |
| Matches in the sample | 73 | 60 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Luca Van Assche
- 02/11/26WMariano Navone#48ATP Paris · R646:3 7:5
- 26/10/26LLearner Tien#19ATP Vienna · R323:6 1:6
- 23/10/26LLorenzo Musetti#24ATP Lyon · QF6:7 7:6 4:6
- 22/10/26WValentin Vacherot#27ATP Lyon · R162:6 6:4 6:4
- 20/10/26WClement Tabur#156ATP Lyon · R327:6 6:3
- 08/10/26LYunchaokete Bu#93ATP Shanghai · R1286:7 3:6
- 30/09/26LArthur Fils#7ATP Tokyo · R323:6 2:6
- 02/09/26LDenis Shapovalov#51ATP US Open · R640:6 4:6 6:7
- 30/08/26WCameron Norrie#45ATP US Open · R1286:7 6:2 6:2 6:3
- 25/08/26LAleksandar Kovacevic#84ATP Winston Salem · R321:6 6:7
Learner Tien
- 03/11/26WAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#56ATP Paris · R646:3 5:7 7:5
- 28/10/26LAlex de Minaur#9ATP Vienna · R164:6 2:6
- 26/10/26WLuca Van Assche#47ATP Vienna · R326:3 6:1
- 12/10/26LCasper Ruud#23ATP Shanghai · R324:6 6:7
- 10/10/26WZachary Svajda#75ATP Shanghai · R647:5 7:5
- 01/10/26LHubert Hurkacz#29ATP Beijing · R327:5 3:6 4:6
- 07/09/26LKaren Khachanov#25ATP US Open · R165:7 6:4 7:6 1:6 4:6
- 06/09/26WJakub Menšík#16ATP US Open · R326:3 1:6 6:7 6:3 6:4
- 03/09/26WGael MonfilsATP US Open · R646:3 6:4 6:3
- 31/08/26WNuno Borges#49ATP US Open · R1286:4 6:1 6:2
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Van Assche | L. Tien | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 29–1566% | 29–1467% |
| Clay | 18–1064% | 9–469% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 2–250% |
Head to head
L. Van Assche 0–1 L. Tien
- 26/10/26Winner: L. Tien3:6 1:6
Road through the tournament
Luca Van Assche
- 02/11/26WMariano Navone#48ATP Paris · R646:3 7:5
Learner Tien
- 03/11/26WAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#56ATP Paris · R646:3 5:7 7:5