ATP ParisMasters 1000Quarterfinalhard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying
Shelton vs Paul: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 14h 14mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Ben Shelton50%
Tommy Paul50%
Elo: B. Shelton 55% · T. Paul 45%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 B. Shelton30%
2:1 B. Shelton20%
2:1 T. Paul20%
2:0 T. Paul30%
First set
Ben Shelton50%
Tommy Paul50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%
Total games
Expected total: 25.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 75% | 25% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 67% | 33% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 61% | 39% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 53% | 47% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 46% | 54% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 44% | 56% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 40% | 60% | 30% |
Sample: 5,332 matches
Games handicap
B. Shelton −0.548%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes56%
tour average 39%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| B. Shelton | Tour | T. Paul | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 70% | 62% | 67% |
| Return points won | 33% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 89% | 76% | 85% |
| Breaks of serve | 15% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 0.72 | 0.53 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.15 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 30% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 31/53 | 16/31 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 47% | 58% | |
| Matches in the sample | 62 | 69 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Ben Shelton
- 05/11/26WArthur Rinderknech#68ATP Paris · R163:6 6:4 7:6
- 03/11/26WCameron Norrie#45ATP Paris · R326:3 6:4
- 29/10/26LJerome Kym#164ATP Basel · R163:6 7:6 6:7
- 27/10/26WAleksandar Kovacevic#84ATP Basel · R326:7 7:6 7:6
- 11/10/26LArthur Gea#44ATP Shanghai · R326:7 6:7
- 09/10/26WDaniel Altmaier#63ATP Shanghai · R646:3 7:6
- 13/09/26LAlexander Zverev#1ATP US Open · F3:6 6:7 7:5 2:6
- 11/09/26WFrances Tiafoe#8ATP US Open · SF4:6 6:3 6:3 7:5
- 09/09/26WCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP US Open · QF6:7 6:1 6:3 1:6 7:6
- 06/09/26WStefanos Tsitsipas#34ATP US Open · R166:2 6:3 6:4
Tommy Paul
- 05/11/26WQuentin Halys#46ATP Paris · R167:6 6:4
- 04/11/26WDaniel Merida#42ATP Paris · R326:1 6:1
- 03/11/26WHolger Rune#433ATP Paris · R647:5 6:4
- 30/10/26LCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP Vienna · QF4:6 6:7
- 29/10/26WLuciano Darderi#21ATP Vienna · R166:1 6:1
- 27/10/26WAndrey Rublev#22ATP Vienna · R327:5 6:2
- 24/10/26LTaylor Fritz#12ATP Lyon · SF3:6 5:7
- 23/10/26WCorentin Moutet#111ATP Lyon · QF6:4 3:6 6:3
- 21/10/26WBenjamin Bonzi#95ATP Lyon · R166:4 6:7 6:3
- 16/10/26LDaniil Medvedev#5ATP Shanghai · QF3:6 6:1 3:6
Elo over the last year
Ben SheltonTommy Paul
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| B. Shelton | T. Paul | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 29–1271% | 31–1567% |
| Clay | 8–562% | 11–473% |
| Grass | 6–275% | 6–275% |
Head to head
B. Shelton 2–2 T. Paul
- 10/02/24Winner: T. Paul2:6 4:6
- 20/10/23Winner: B. Shelton7:6 6:3
- 03/09/23Winner: B. Shelton6:4 6:3 4:6 6:4
- 25/01/23Winner: T. Paul6:7 3:6 7:5 4:6
Road through the tournament
Ben Shelton
- 03/11/26WCameron Norrie#45ATP Paris · R326:3 6:4
- 05/11/26WArthur Rinderknech#68ATP Paris · R163:6 6:4 7:6
Tommy Paul
- 03/11/26WHolger Rune#433ATP Paris · R647:5 6:4
- 04/11/26WDaniel Merida#42ATP Paris · R326:1 6:1
- 05/11/26WQuentin Halys#46ATP Paris · R167:6 6:4
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