Gorzny vs Holmgren: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 55% → with the players' profiles 57%
Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Gorzny 14 of 20, Holmgren 13 of 20 (tour average 49%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 29% → with the players' profiles 31%
Over 27.5 games in recent matches: Gorzny 7 of 20, Holmgren 9 of 20 (tour average 24%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: S. Gorzny 58% · A. Holmgren 43%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 72% | 28% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 64% | 36% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 57% | 43% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 51% | 49% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 45% | 55% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 41% | 59% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 39% | 61% | 32% |
Sample: 5,491 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. Gorzny | Tour | A. Holmgren | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 81% | 76% | 83% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 19% |
| Aces per service game | 0.61 | 0.65 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.30 | 0.31 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 19% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 3/7 | 18/29 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 47% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 26 | 64 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Sebastian Gorzny
- 13/11/26WAlex Bolt#171Challenger Brisbane 3 · QF4:6 6:3 6:2
- 11/11/26WMatthew Dellavedova#224Challenger Brisbane 3 · R167:5 6:4
- 10/11/26WIsaac Becroft#521Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:1 3:6 6:3
- 27/10/26LDarwin Blanch#149Challenger Sioux Falls · R324:6 2:6
- 20/10/26LIgor Marcondes#285Challenger Fort Worth · R325:7 6:2 4:6
- 24/09/26LTristan Boyer#208Challenger San Diego 2 · R164:6 6:7
- 22/09/26WMitchell Krueger#482Challenger San Diego 2 · R324:6 7:5 7:5
- 21/09/26WAidan Mayo#235Challenger San Diego 2 · Q26:3 6:4
- 20/09/26WAndrew Johnson#720Challenger San Diego 2 · Q17:5 6:0
- 18/09/26LJeffrey John Wolf#201Challenger Tiburon · QF6:7 6:1 5:7
August Holmgren
- 13/11/26WBernard Tomic#176Challenger Brisbane 3 · QF6:2 5:7 6:3
- 11/11/26WChristopher O'Connell#117Challenger Brisbane 3 · R166:2 6:2
- 10/11/26WPhilip Sekulic#332Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:4 4:6 7:5
- 04/11/26LYuta Shimizu#362Challenger Taipei · R166:7 4:6
- 02/11/26WDaniel Michalski#315Challenger Taipei · R326:3 6:4
- 27/10/26LJay Friend#256Challenger Seoul · R323:6 3:6
- 13/10/26LLuca Nardi#263Challenger Olbia · R326:4 4:6 4:6
- 06/10/26LPedro Martinez#124Challenger Villena · R326:2 6:7 5:7
- 02/10/26LHenrique Rocha#111Challenger Porto 2 · QF3:6 6:7
- 01/10/26WAndrea Guerrieri#160Challenger Porto 2 · R167:5 6:1
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. Gorzny | A. Holmgren | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 15–1158% | 22–2349% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 6–367% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 5–645% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Sebastian Gorzny
- 10/11/26WIsaac Becroft#521Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:1 3:6 6:3
- 11/11/26WMatthew Dellavedova#224Challenger Brisbane 3 · R167:5 6:4
- 13/11/26WAlex Bolt#171Challenger Brisbane 3 · QF4:6 6:3 6:2
August Holmgren
- 10/11/26WPhilip Sekulic#332Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:4 4:6 7:5
- 11/11/26WChristopher O'Connell#117Challenger Brisbane 3 · R166:2 6:2
- 13/11/26WBernard Tomic#176Challenger Brisbane 3 · QF6:2 5:7 6:3
Upcoming matches
- Rio Noguchi vs Yu Hsiou Hsu, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Rei Sakamoto vs Billy Harris, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Juncheng Shang vs Christian Langmo, · Challenger Brisbane 3
- Ben Shelton vs Rafael Jodar, · ATP Tour Finals Turin
- Alexander Zverev vs Arthur Fils, · ATP Tour Finals Turin
- Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton, · ATP Tour Finals Turin