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Challenger MetzChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Donald vs Krumich: prediction and tips

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M. W. DonaldATP #353Elo 1671hard 1593
-:-
Martin KrumichATP #299Elo 1652hard 1616

Our tips

Tip in 5h 48m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

M. W. Donald39%
Martin Krumich61%

Elo: M. Donald 47% · M. Krumich 53%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Donald23%
2:1 M. Donald16%
2:1 M. Krumich21%
2:0 M. Krumich39%

First set

M. W. Donald42%
Martin Krumich58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 58%market (no margin): 53%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%71%
19.561%39%62%
20.556%44%54%
21.548%52%49%
22.542%58%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.537%64%35%

Sample: 6,174 matches

Games handicap

M. Krumich −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. DonaldTourM. Krumich
Service points won59%62%62%
Return points won43%38%41%
Service games held71%76%76%
Breaks of serve35%24%30%
Aces per service game0.140.38
Double faults per game0.460.24
Sets with a tie-break12%11%
Tie-breaks won6/119/19
Wins in straight sets65%61%
Matches in the sample3974

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

M. W. Donald

Martin Krumich

Elo over the last year

M. W. DonaldMartin Krumich

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. DonaldM. Krumich
Hard court3–350%9–756%
Clay20–1361%34–2459%

Head to head

M. Donald 1–1 M. Krumich

  • 02/10/26Winner: M. Donald4:6 6:1 6:3
  • 03/02/26Winner: M. Krumich4:6 5:7

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