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Challenger MetzChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Moroni vs Coulibaly: prediction and tips

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Filippo MoroniElo 1551hard 1513
-:-
Eliakim CoulibalyATP #342Elo 1611hard 1596

Our tips

Tip in 11h 38m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Filippo Moroni24%
Eliakim Coulibaly76%

Elo: F. Moroni 38% · E. Coulibaly 62%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Moroni14%
2:1 F. Moroni11%
2:1 E. Coulibaly22%
2:0 E. Coulibaly54%

First set

Filippo Moroni30%
Eliakim Coulibaly70%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%79%
18.568%32%71%
19.559%41%62%
20.551%49%54%
21.545%55%49%
22.539%61%42%
23.535%65%37%

Sample: 3,863 matches

Games handicap

E. Coulibaly −4.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. MoroniTourE. Coulibaly
Service points won58%62%64%
Return points won41%38%38%
Service games held71%76%79%
Breaks of serve32%24%24%
Aces per service game0.190.53
Double faults per game0.230.31
Sets with a tie-break21%9%
Tie-breaks won3/54/6
Wins in straight sets20%73%
Matches in the sample930

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Filippo Moroni

  • 06/10/26LGianluca Cadenasso#214Challenger Palermo · R326:3 4:6 3:6
  • 05/10/26WIgnacio Parisca Romera#653Challenger Palermo · Q27:6 5:7 7:6
  • 04/10/26WAlex Marti Pujolras#449Challenger Palermo · Q17:6 6:7 6:1
  • 28/09/26LFabrizio Andaloro#783Challenger Bari · Q26:7 6:1 3:6
  • 27/09/26WGianmarco Ferrari#529Challenger Bari · Q14:6 6:3 6:1
  • 29/03/26LManas Dhamne#388Challenger Barletta · Q11:6 3:6
  • 18/11/25LLorenzo Giustino#289Challenger Montemar · R324:6 1:6
  • 17/11/25WFederico Bondioli#324Challenger Montemar · Q24:6 6:0 7:5
  • 16/11/25WDiego Augusto Barreto SanchezChallenger Montemar · Q16:1 6:1
  • 07/09/25LPatrick Brady#672Challenger Rennes · Q14:6 5:7

Eliakim Coulibaly

Elo over the last year

Filippo MoroniEliakim Coulibaly

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. MoroniE. Coulibaly
Hard court0–011–955%
Clay5–456%4–640%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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