Challenger HelsinkiChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying
Clarke vs Nordquist: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 6h 58mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Jay Clarke80%
Arvid Nordquist20%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J. Clarke59%
2:1 J. Clarke21%
2:1 A. Nordquist9%
2:0 A. Nordquist11%
First set
Jay Clarke74%
Arvid Nordquist26%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes31%
no70%
Total games
Expected total: 22.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 77% | 23% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 68% | 32% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 59% | 41% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 50% | 50% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 44% | 56% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 38% | 62% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 32% | 68% | 37% |
Sample: 3,125 matches
Games handicap
J. Clarke −4.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes29%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Clarke | Tour | A. Nordquist | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 75% | 76% | 73% |
| Breaks of serve | 30% | 24% | 25% |
| Aces per service game | 0.31 | 0.26 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 22% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/18 | 0/2 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | — | |
| Matches in the sample | 66 | 3 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Jay Clarke
- 11/11/26LPedro Vives Marcos#585Challenger Monastir · R163:6 2:6
- 10/11/26WMaxime Janvier#606Challenger Monastir · R326:7 7:6 6:4
- 06/11/26LFelix Gill#217Challenger Taranto · QF4:6 6:4 2:6
- 05/11/26WGianluca Cadenasso#214Challenger Taranto · R166:2 6:4
- 03/11/26WFederico Bondioli#324Challenger Taranto · R326:4 6:2
- 20/10/26LDimitris Sakellaridis#537Challenger Florence · R325:7 6:4 2:6
- 06/10/26LGabriele Piraino#391Challenger Palermo · R323:6 1:6
- 30/09/26LJuan Cruz Martin Manzano#383Challenger Bari · R164:6 4:6
- 29/09/26WFabrizio Andaloro#783Challenger Bari · R326:2 6:1
- 25/09/26LCarlo Alberto Caniato#323Challenger Genoa 2 · QF0:6 0:2
Arvid Nordquist
- 08/11/26LAlexander Vasilev#604Challenger Hersonissos 3 · Q16:3 1:6 1:6
- 01/11/26LMatteo Sciahbasi#856Challenger Taranto · Q16:3 4:6 6:7
- 23/08/26LGiulio Perego#829Challenger Roehampton 2 · Q16:7 6:4 4:6
- 17/03/25LNicolas Kicker#336Challenger Asuncion · Q13:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Jay ClarkeArvid Nordquist
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Clarke | A. Nordquist | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 15–1256% | 0–30% |
| Clay | 17–1750% | 0–0 |
| Grass | 3–260% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
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