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Challenger Hersonissos 3Challenger 50Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Nordquist vs Vasilev 1:2: result and our tips

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Arvid NordquistATP #657Elo 1324hard 1348
1:2final6:3 1:6 1:6
Alexander VasilevATP #611Elo 1471hard 1468

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Arvid Nordquist54%
Alexander Vasilev46%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Nordquist34%
2:1 A. Nordquist20%
2:1 A. Vasilev18%
2:0 A. Vasilev28%

First set

Arvid Nordquist53%
Alexander Vasilev47%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 55%market (no margin): 48%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,606 matches

Games handicap

A. Nordquist −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Arvid NordquistAlexander Vasilev
1Aces4
3Double faults5
68%First serves in65%
64%First-serve points won66%
27%Second-serve points won56%
3/9Break points converted6/10
5/11Service games held9/12
52%Service points won62%
38%Return points won48%
65Total points won81

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. NordquistTourA. Vasilev
Service points won—62%57%
Return points won—38%39%
Service games held—76%67%
Breaks of serve—24%26%
Aces per service game—0.36
Double faults per game—0.54
Sets with a tie-break—3%
Tie-breaks won—0/1
Wins in straight sets—83%
Matches in the sample—15

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Arvid Nordquist

Alexander Vasilev

  • 22/09/26LFelix Gill#228Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R321:6 0:6
  • 01/09/26LJuan Manuel La Serna#254Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R321:6 2:6
  • 03/08/26LEmilien Demanet#705Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R323:6 4:6
  • 20/07/26LDigvijay Pratap Singh#421Challenger Segovia · Q23:6 6:3 1:6
  • 19/07/26WLuca Castelnuovo#444Challenger Segovia · Q16:4 6:2
  • 02/07/26LEliakim Coulibaly#339Challenger Troyes · R164:6 2:6
  • 30/06/26WKai Wehnelt#643Challenger Troyes · R321:6 6:1 6:1
  • 24/06/26LSandro Kopp#294Challenger Plovdiv · R161:6 5:7
  • 23/06/26WNiels Visker#418Challenger Plovdiv · R327:5 6:1
  • 10/06/26LAndrea Guerrieri#166Challenger Cattolica · R166:7 5:7

Elo over the last year

Arvid NordquistAlexander Vasilev

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. NordquistA. Vasilev
Hard court0–20%1–150%
Clay0–05–838%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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