Challenger MetzChallenger 175Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets
Basilashvili vs Houkes: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from Elo (no market). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Nikoloz Basilashvili90%
Max Houkes10%
Elo: N. Basilashvili 90% · M. Houkes 10%
from Elo (no market)
Set score
2:0 N. Basilashvili63%
2:1 N. Basilashvili20%
2:1 M. Houkes7%
2:0 M. Houkes10%
First set
Nikoloz Basilashvili76%
Max Houkes24%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes27%
no73%
Total games
Expected total: 21.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 76% | 24% | 80% |
| 18.5 | 67% | 33% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 57% | 43% | 63% |
| 20.5 | 48% | 52% | 55% |
| 21.5 | 42% | 58% | 50% |
| 22.5 | 36% | 64% | 43% |
| 23.5 | 31% | 69% | 37% |
Sample: 3,218 matches
Games handicap
N. Basilashvili −4.554%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes31%
tour average 33%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| N. Basilashvili | Tour | M. Houkes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 73% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 25% |
| Aces per service game | 0.63 | 0.36 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.37 | 0.22 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 21% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 14/32 | 7/15 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 59% | |
| Matches in the sample | 67 | 38 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
- 08/11/26LBorna Gojo#134ATP Stockholm · Q23:6 6:7
- 07/11/26WFrancesco Passaro#157ATP Stockholm · Q16:4 6:3
- 29/10/26LCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP Vienna · R161:6 6:7
- 28/10/26WJurij Rodionov#118ATP Vienna · R327:6 6:1
- 25/10/26LDaniil Medvedev#5ATP Almaty · F7:6 1:6 3:6
- 24/10/26WStefanos Tsitsipas#36ATP Almaty · SF6:4 6:7 6:3
- 23/10/26WAdrian Mannarino#61ATP Almaty · QF6:3 6:1
- 21/10/26WFacundo Diaz Acosta#66ATP Almaty · R166:2 6:4
- 19/10/26WMarin Cilic#97ATP Almaty · R326:2 7:5
- 18/10/26WAdam Walton#96ATP Almaty · Q26:4 7:6
Max Houkes
- 09/11/26LTom Gentzsch#159Challenger Orleans · R326:4 3:6 4:6
- 02/11/26LMichael Vrbensky#737Challenger Bratislava 2 · Q24:6 4:6
- 01/11/26WDominik MacejChallenger Bratislava 2 · Q16:3 4:6 6:1
- 22/10/26LMichele Ribecai#281Challenger Florence · R166:3 3:6 0:6
- 19/10/26WFranco Agamenone#367Challenger Florence · R327:6 5:7 6:1
- 13/08/26LJan Kumstat#162Challenger Hamburg · R164:6 6:7
- 11/08/26WSumit Nagal#264Challenger Hamburg · R327:5 6:2
- 06/08/26LJerome Kym#143Challenger Hagen · R163:6 6:7
- 04/08/26WVilius Gaubas#146Challenger Hagen · R322:6 6:4 6:4
- 28/07/26LRoberto Carballes Baena#266Challenger Bonn · R324:6 6:3 2:6
Elo over the last year
Nikoloz BasilashviliMax Houkes
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| N. Basilashvili | M. Houkes | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 20–1853% | 2–433% |
| Clay | 12–1250% | 15–1550% |
| Grass | 2–340% | 0–20% |
Head to head
N. Basilashvili 1–0 M. Houkes
- 11/02/23Winner: N. Basilashvili6:4 6:4
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