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ATP Stockholm250Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Fearnley vs Nagel: prediction and tips

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Jacob FearnleyATP #90Elo 1955hard 1915
-:-
Arthur NagelATP #337Elo 1350hard 1368

Our tips

Tip in 14h 5m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Jacob Fearnley90%
Arthur Nagel10%

Elo: J. Fearnley 96% · A. Nagel 4%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Fearnley71%
2:1 J. Fearnley17%
2:1 A. Nagel6%
2:0 A. Nagel6%

First set

Jacob Fearnley81%
Arthur Nagel19%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes23%
no77%

Total games

Expected total: 20.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.579%21%91%
17.570%30%83%
18.560%41%75%
19.549%51%67%
20.542%58%59%
21.535%65%53%
22.528%72%45%

Sample: 1,634 matches

Games handicap

J. Fearnley −5.545%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 37%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. FearnleyTourA. Nagel
Service points won62%62%58%
Return points won40%38%38%
Service games held76%76%69%
Breaks of serve28%24%23%
Aces per service game0.400.35
Double faults per game0.450.24
Sets with a tie-break21%30%
Tie-breaks won14/342/6
Wins in straight sets56%0%
Matches in the sample638

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jacob Fearnley

Arthur Nagel

Elo over the last year

Jacob FearnleyArthur Nagel

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. FearnleyA. Nagel
Hard court23–2053%1–517%
Clay2–340%0–20%
Grass11–473%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also