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Challenger BrestChallenger 125Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Echargui vs Kaouk 2:0: result and our tips

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Moez EcharguiATP #350Elo 1650hard 1643
2:0final6:3 6:2
Mickael KaoukATP #937Elo 1384hard 1357

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: EcharguiWon70%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 70%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Kaouk lost 5 of the last 6 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Moez Echargui71%
Mickael Kaouk29%

Elo: M. Echargui 84% · M. Kaouk 16%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Echargui48%
2:1 M. Echargui22%
2:1 M. Kaouk13%
2:0 M. Kaouk17%

First set

Moez Echargui65%
Mickael Kaouk35%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 58%market (no margin): 54%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%30%71%
19.562%38%62%
20.555%45%54%
21.549%51%49%
22.542%58%42%
23.538%63%37%
24.535%65%35%

Sample: 4,598 matches

Games handicap

M. Echargui −3.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Moez EcharguiMickael Kaouk
3Aces4
0Double faults2
82%First serves in50%
77%First-serve points won81%
70%Second-serve points won23%
3/4Break points converted0/1
9/9Service games held5/8
76%Service points won52%
48%Return points won24%
66Total points won40

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. EcharguiTourM. Kaouk
Service points won61%62%56%
Return points won36%38%38%
Service games held72%76%64%
Breaks of serve21%24%23%
Aces per service game0.390.27
Double faults per game0.220.33
Sets with a tie-break20%20%
Tie-breaks won16/262/3
Wins in straight sets58%0%
Matches in the sample546

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Moez Echargui

Mickael Kaouk

  • 11/10/26LNorbert Gombos#370Challenger Roanne · Q14:6 6:7
  • 20/09/26LJustin Boulais#428Challenger Saint Tropez · Q17:5 3:6 2:6
  • 15/09/26LAnton Matusevich#309Challenger Rennes · R320:6 3:6
  • 01/07/26LMarvin Moeller#225Challenger Troyes · R162:6 3:6
  • 29/06/26WDali Blanch#324Challenger Troyes · R327:5 3:6 7:6
  • 09/06/26LMatteo Martineau#245Challenger Lyon · R327:6 4:6 2:6
  • 30/09/25LLoann Massard#802Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · R323:6 5:7

Elo over the last year

Moez EcharguiMickael Kaouk

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. EcharguiM. Kaouk
Hard court14–2338%0–30%
Clay3–1023%1–233%
Grass2–250%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.