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ATP Basel500Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Faria vs Brunold 0:2: result and our tips

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Jaime FariaATP #57Elo 1918hard 1855
0:2final6:7(4) 6:7(5)
Mika BrunoldATP #191Elo 1863hard 1841

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 21.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Brunold: 6 matches in a row over 21.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Won40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Brunold: 4 matches in a row over 25.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jaime Faria53%
Mika Brunold47%

Elo: J. Faria 52% · M. Brunold 48%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Faria33%
2:1 J. Faria20%
2:1 M. Brunold20%
2:0 M. Brunold27%

First set

Jaime Faria53%
Mika Brunold47%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.575%25%68%
20.567%33%60%
21.561%39%54%
22.552%48%46%
23.546%54%40%
24.544%56%38%
25.540%60%35%

Sample: 5,393 matches

Games handicap

J. Faria −1.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes44%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 23.0out · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Jaime FariaMika Brunold
8Aces6
4Double faults2
61%First serves in67%
68%First-serve points won76%
54%Second-serve points won46%
2/4Break points converted2/9
10/12Service games held10/12
63%Service points won66%
34%Return points won37%
88Total points won92

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. FariaTourM. Brunold
Service points won64%62%63%
Return points won38%38%40%
Service games held80%76%79%
Breaks of serve23%24%28%
Aces per service game0.550.26
Double faults per game0.380.19
Sets with a tie-break20%17%
Tie-breaks won23/4213/18
Wins in straight sets56%59%
Matches in the sample8146

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jaime Faria

Mika Brunold

Elo over the last year

Jaime FariaMika Brunold

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. FariaM. Brunold
Hard court16–1453%8–373%
Clay29–1566%24–1169%
Grass5–271%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.