Challenger Guangzhou NanshaChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets
Fomin vs Schoolkate: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 18h 18mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Sergey Fomin15%
Tristan Schoolkate85%
Elo: S. Fomin 22% · T. Schoolkate 78%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 S. Fomin8%
2:1 S. Fomin8%
2:1 T. Schoolkate20%
2:0 T. Schoolkate64%
First set
Sergey Fomin22%
Tristan Schoolkate78%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes27%
no73%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 51%market (no margin): 50%
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 77% | 24% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 67% | 33% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 57% | 43% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 42% | 58% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 36% | 64% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 30% | 70% | 37% |
Sample: 2,196 matches
Games handicap
Tristan Schoolkate −4.557%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes30%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. Fomin | Tour | T. Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 72% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 25% | 24% | 19% |
| Aces per service game | 0.43 | 0.66 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.32 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 14% | 19% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/14 | 14/31 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 61% | |
| Matches in the sample | 44 | 66 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Sergey Fomin
- 05/10/26LTimofei Derepasko#662Challenger Wuning 3 · R322:6 6:7
- 16/09/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#424Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R323:6 1:6
- 08/09/26LYi Zhou#277Challenger Shanghai · R326:7 5:7
- 01/09/26LKhumoyun Sultanov#444Challenger Zhangjiagang · R325:7 0:6
- 15/08/26LAziz Dougaz#430Challenger Astana · SF6:4 1:6 5:7
- 14/08/26WMasamichi Imamura#412Challenger Astana · QF6:2 6:1
- 13/08/26WKasidit Samrej#397Challenger Astana · R166:1 6:4
- 11/08/26WMaxim Zhukov#730Challenger Astana · R327:5 4:1
- 26/07/26LGiuseppe La Vela#543Challenger Bonn · Q16:1 1:6 3:6
- 21/07/26LYanki Erel#300Challenger Segovia · R322:6 6:3 6:7
Tristan Schoolkate
- 14/10/26LLuka Pavlovic#207Challenger Jinan · R325:7 4:6
- 05/10/26LDane Sweeny#112ATP Shanghai · Q16:3 3:6 2:6
- 01/10/26LHarold Mayot#186Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R164:6 6:2 4:6
- 30/09/26WPhilip Henning#267Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R326:3 6:4
- 22/09/26LMatteo Martineau#272Challenger Saint Tropez · R326:7 7:6 6:7
- 19/09/26LHarold Mayot#186Challenger Rennes · SF3:6 3:6
- 18/09/26WMatisse Bobichon#571Challenger Rennes · QF6:2 6:1
- 17/09/26WAnton Matusevich#314Challenger Rennes · R166:7 6:4 6:4
- 16/09/26WMarek Gengel#414Challenger Rennes · R326:1 6:3
- 03/09/26LFlavio Cobolli#7ATP US Open · R646:3 3:6 4:6 5:7
Elo over the last year
Sergey FominTristan Schoolkate
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. Fomin | T. Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 13–1645% | 23–2548% |
| Clay | 8–753% | 6–460% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 4–450% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.