Challenger JinanChallenger 175Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Pavlovic vs Schoolkate: prediction and tips

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Luka PavlovicATP #207Elo 1695hard 1686
-:-
Tristan SchoolkateATP #155Elo 1743hard 1728

Our tips

Tip in 22m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Luka Pavlovic38%
Tristan Schoolkate62%

Elo: L. Pavlovic 44% · T. Schoolkate 56%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Pavlovic23%
2:1 L. Pavlovic16%
2:1 T. Schoolkate22%
2:0 T. Schoolkate40%

First set

Luka Pavlovic42%
Tristan Schoolkate58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 46%market (no margin): 49%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.575%25%62%
20.566%34%54%
21.559%41%49%
22.554%46%42%
23.546%54%37%
24.541%59%35%
25.539%61%32%

Sample: 5,738 matches

Games handicap

Tristan Schoolkate −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes47%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. PavlovicTourT. Schoolkate
Service points won64%62%66%
Return points won34%38%35%
Service games held80%76%83%
Breaks of serve19%24%19%
Aces per service game0.800.68
Double faults per game0.350.25
Sets with a tie-break20%21%
Tie-breaks won14/2617/35
Wins in straight sets59%62%
Matches in the sample5467

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Luka Pavlovic

Tristan Schoolkate

Elo over the last year

Luka PavlovicTristan Schoolkate

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. PavlovicT. Schoolkate
Hard court15–1354%24–2549%
Clay11–1346%6–460%
Grass1–150%4–450%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Luka Pavlovic

Tristan Schoolkate

First match in this tournament.