Challenger JinanChallenger 175Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying
Pavlovic vs Shi 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Luka Pavlovic95%
Kangyuan Shi5%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 L. Pavlovic80%
2:1 L. Pavlovic14%
2:1 K. Shi3%
2:0 K. Shi4%
First set
Luka Pavlovic87%
Kangyuan Shi13%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes17%
no83%
Total games
Expected total: 19.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5 | 77% | 23% | 94% |
| 16.5 | 66% | 34% | 88% |
| 17.5 | 55% | 45% | 80% |
| 18.5 | 45% | 55% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 36% | 64% | 63% |
| 20.5 | 29% | 71% | 55% |
| 21.5 | 25% | 75% | 49% |
Sample: 1,121 matches
Games handicap
Luka Pavlovic −6.547%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes17%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 18.5in · 14 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Luka Pavlovic | Kangyuan Shi | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 2 |
| 0 | Double faults | 4 |
| 47% | First serves in | 50% |
| 93% | First-serve points won | 44% |
| 94% | Second-serve points won | 39% |
| 5/10 | Break points converted | 0/0 |
| 7/7 | Service games held | 2/7 |
| 93% | Service points won | 41% |
| 59% | Return points won | 7% |
| 55 | Total points won | 21 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Pavlovic | Tour | K. Shi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | — |
| Return points won | 34% | 38% | — |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | — |
| Breaks of serve | 18% | 24% | — |
| Aces per service game | 0.81 | — | |
| Double faults per game | 0.35 | — | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 21% | — | |
| Tie-breaks won | 15/27 | — | |
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | — | |
| Matches in the sample | 54 | — |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Luka Pavlovic
- 11/10/26WThomas Fancutt#697Challenger Jinan · Q17:5 6:3
- 05/10/26LIlia Simakin#154ATP Shanghai · Q16:4 4:6 1:6
- 01/10/26LLloyd Harris#110Challenger Jingshan · R162:6 3:6
- 29/09/26WAkira Santillan#324Challenger Jingshan · R326:2 6:4
- 22/09/26LAlexandre Muller#133ATP Chengdu · Q14:6 7:6 3:6
- 16/09/26LHunter Heck#605Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R166:3 1:6 6:7
- 15/09/26WHa Minh Duc VuChallenger Phan Thiet 4 · R327:5 6:3
- 26/08/26LJacob Fearnley#96ATP US Open · Q24:6 7:6 4:6
- 24/08/26WJuan Pablo Varillas#200ATP US Open · Q16:3 6:7 7:5
- 17/08/26LFelipe Meligeni Alves#453Challenger Cancun · Q16:7 6:7
Kangyuan Shi
- 11/10/26WSergey BetovChallenger Jinan · Q16:4 6:3
Elo over the last year
Luka PavlovicKangyuan Shi
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Pavlovic | K. Shi | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 15–1354% | 1–0100% |
| Clay | 11–1346% | 0–0 |
| Grass | 1–150% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Luka Pavlovic
- 11/10/26WThomas Fancutt#697Challenger Jinan · Q17:5 6:3
Kangyuan Shi
- 11/10/26WSergey BetovChallenger Jinan · Q16:4 6:3