Challenger PalermoChallenger 50Round of 16claybest of three sets

Forejtek vs Krumich 2:0: result and our tips

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Jonas ForejtekATP #343Elo 1665clay 1659
2:0final6:3 6:4
Martin KrumichATP #257Elo 1692clay 1685

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoWon75%

Where the number comes from: market alone 70% → with the players' profiles 75%

Krumich: 15 matches in a row without a tie-break; No tie-break in recent matches: Forejtek 16 of 20, Krumich 19 of 20 (tour average 73%)

Long shot
Total Sets: Over 2.5Lost39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

A third set in recent matches: Forejtek 12 of 20, Krumich 6 of 20 (tour average 34%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jonas Forejtek50%
Martin Krumich50%

Elo: J. Forejtek 46% · M. Krumich 54%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Forejtek30%
2:1 J. Forejtek19%
2:1 M. Krumich19%
2:0 M. Krumich31%

First set

Jonas Forejtek50%
Martin Krumich50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 57%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%30%68%
19.562%39%59%
20.554%46%52%
21.548%52%47%
22.543%57%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,253 matches

Games handicap

Martin Krumich −0.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Jonas ForejtekMartin Krumich
1Aces0
2Double faults4
59%First serves in42%
69%First-serve points won74%
64%Second-serve points won42%
4/10Break points converted2/3
8/10Service games held5/9
67%Service points won55%
45%Return points won33%
65Total points won54

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. ForejtekTourM. Krumich
Service points won62%62%62%
Return points won41%38%41%
Service games held76%76%76%
Breaks of serve29%24%30%
Aces per service game0.340.39
Double faults per game0.150.23
Sets with a tie-break15%11%
Tie-breaks won9/199/18
Wins in straight sets62%62%
Matches in the sample5270

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jonas Forejtek

  • 05/10/26WSandro Kopp#316Challenger Palermo · R327:5 6:4
  • 27/09/26LMax Alcala Gurri#138Challenger Plovdiv 4 · F4:6 2:6
  • 26/09/26WAdrian Andreev#610Challenger Plovdiv 4 · SF6:3 4:6 6:3
  • 25/09/26WFelix Gill#222Challenger Plovdiv 4 · QF7:6 6:0
  • 24/09/26WMaxime Chazal#427Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R166:1 5:7 6:0
  • 22/09/26WSebastian Gima#589Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R326:4 4:6 6:3
  • 14/09/26LJay Clarke#240Challenger Biella · R326:3 3:6 4:6
  • 08/09/26LRaul Brancaccio#231Challenger Seville · R322:6 6:2 1:6
  • 07/09/26LGerard Campana Lee#449Challenger Seville · Q27:6 3:6 4:6
  • 06/09/26WAlberto Barroso Campos#681Challenger Seville · Q16:1 7:5

Martin Krumich

  • 06/10/26WSamuele Pieri#320Challenger Palermo · R326:0 6:4
  • 02/10/26LM. W. Donald#418Challenger Bari · QF6:4 1:6 3:6
  • 01/10/26WPierluigi Basile#521Challenger Bari · R166:3 6:1
  • 29/09/26WImanol Lopez Morillo#668Challenger Bari · R326:1 4:2
  • 16/09/26LTom Gentzsch#164Challenger Szczecin · R163:6 4:6
  • 14/09/26WKacper KnitterChallenger Szczecin · R326:2 6:2
  • 09/09/26LZdenek Kolar#196Challenger Tulln · R162:6 4:6
  • 07/09/26WSebastian Sorger#381Challenger Tulln · R323:6 6:4 6:3
  • 01/09/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#136Challenger Como · R323:6 4:6
  • 27/08/26LSandro Kopp#316Challenger Augsburg · QF2:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Jonas ForejtekMartin Krumich

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. ForejtekM. Krumich
Hard court7–464%8–562%
Clay22–1954%34–2360%

Head to head

J. Forejtek 0–1 M. Krumich

  • 02/09/24Winner: Martin Krumich6:7 2:6

Road through the tournament

Jonas Forejtek

  • 05/10/26WSandro Kopp#316Challenger Palermo · R327:5 6:4

Martin Krumich