WTA WuhanWTA 1000Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Fręch vs Ito 0:2: result and our tips

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Magdalena FręchWTA #56Elo 1791hard 1784
0:2final6:7(3) 4:6
Aoi ItoWTA #344Elo 1558hard 1581

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Magdalena Fręch75%
Aoi Ito25%

Elo: M. Fręch 76% · A. Ito 24%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Fręch53%
2:1 M. Fręch21%
2:1 A. Ito12%
2:0 A. Ito14%

First set

Magdalena Fręch69%
Aoi Ito31%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.0 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.573%27%72%
18.565%35%63%
19.557%43%55%
20.550%51%49%
21.544%56%44%
22.538%62%38%
23.534%66%34%

Sample: 1,648 matches

Games handicap

Magdalena Fręch −4.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.0in · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Magdalena FręchAoi Ito
1Aces1
2Double faults5
79%First serves in73%
56%First-serve points won61%
41%Second-serve points won57%
3/10Break points converted4/10
7/11Service games held8/11
53%Service points won60%
40%Return points won47%
73Total points won84

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. FręchTourA. Ito
Service points won57%56%53%
Return points won43%44%45%
Service games held67%63%56%
Breaks of serve33%37%37%
Aces per service game0.260.10
Double faults per game0.220.43
Sets with a tie-break13%11%
Tie-breaks won7/140/6
Wins in straight sets62%75%
Matches in the sample4525

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Magdalena Fręch

Aoi Ito

Elo over the last year

Magdalena FręchAoi Ito

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. FręchA. Ito
Hard court18–1555%6–1038%
Clay2–529%1–233%
Grass1–420%1–517%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Magdalena Fręch

Aoi Ito