WTA WuhanWTA 1000Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Fręch vs Uchijima 1:0: result and our tips

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Magdalena FręchWTA #56Elo 1791hard 1784
1:0retired6:4 4:1
Moyuka UchijimaWTA #121Elo 1663hard 1654

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: Frech67%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Frech won the first set in 9 of the last 20 matches, Uchijima lost the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Total Sets: Over 2.535%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Uchijima: 3 matches in a row going the distance

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Magdalena Fręch71%
Moyuka Uchijima29%

Elo: M. Fręch 68% · M. Uchijima 32%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Fręch49%
2:1 M. Fręch21%
2:1 M. Uchijima14%
2:0 M. Uchijima17%

First set

Magdalena Fręch67%
Moyuka Uchijima34%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%72%
18.567%33%64%
19.559%41%56%
20.552%48%49%
21.546%54%44%
22.540%60%38%
23.536%65%34%

Sample: 1,859 matches

Games handicap

Magdalena Fręch −4.545%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 22%

Match stats

Magdalena FręchMoyuka Uchijima
1Aces2
2Double faults8
61%First serves in49%
77%First-serve points won65%
53%Second-serve points won39%
4/8Break points converted1/3
6/7Service games held4/8
67%Service points won51%
49%Return points won33%
63Total points won50

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. FręchTourM. Uchijima
Service points won57%56%55%
Return points won43%44%45%
Service games held67%63%62%
Breaks of serve33%37%38%
Aces per service game0.260.20
Double faults per game0.220.36
Sets with a tie-break14%10%
Tie-breaks won7/147/13
Wins in straight sets65%69%
Matches in the sample4453

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Magdalena Fręch

Moyuka Uchijima

Elo over the last year

Magdalena FręchMoyuka Uchijima

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. FręchM. Uchijima
Hard court17–1553%11–1542%
Clay2–529%15–1158%
Grass1–420%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.