Challenger Wuning 3Challenger 50Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Friend vs Leong 2:0: result and our tips

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Jay FriendATP #260Elo 1789hard 1776
2:0final6:3 6:3
Mitsuki Wei Kang LeongATP #424Elo 1619hard 1628

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: FriendWon75%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 75%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Friend won 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jay Friend75%
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong26%

Elo: J. Friend 70% · M. Leong 30%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Friend52%
2:1 J. Friend22%
2:1 M. Leong11%
2:0 M. Leong14%

First set

Jay Friend69%
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong31%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%29%71%
19.562%38%62%
20.554%46%54%
21.548%52%49%
22.541%59%42%
23.536%64%37%
24.534%66%35%

Sample: 3,836 matches

Games handicap

Jay Friend −4.544%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.0out · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Jay FriendMitsuki Wei Kang Leong
2Aces1
2Double faults1
50%First serves in48%
77%First-serve points won68%
56%Second-serve points won54%
3/5Break points converted0/4
9/9Service games held6/9
66%Service points won61%
39%Return points won34%
63Total points won51

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. FriendTourM. Leong
Service points won64%62%63%
Return points won39%38%42%
Service games held81%76%77%
Breaks of serve24%24%31%
Aces per service game0.440.47
Double faults per game0.290.26
Sets with a tie-break18%14%
Tie-breaks won12/185/16
Wins in straight sets61%63%
Matches in the sample4350

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jay Friend

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

  • 06/10/26WSidharth Rawat#664Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 4:6 6:1
  • 29/09/26LMarat Sharipov#234Challenger Jingshan · Q22:6 3:6
  • 28/09/26WThomas Fancutt#697Challenger Jingshan · Q16:4 6:4
  • 18/09/26LPetr Bar Biryukov#278Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · QF6:7 6:4 6:7
  • 17/09/26WJames Kent Trotter#464Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R166:2 6:3
  • 16/09/26WSergey Fomin#294Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:3 6:1
  • 14/09/26WHanyi Liu#831Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q22:6 6:1 4:0
  • 13/09/26WYe HongyuChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q16:0 6:1
  • 08/09/26LOmar Jasika#422Challenger Shanghai · R322:6 1:6
  • 07/09/26WThijmen LoofChallenger Shanghai · Q26:7 6:4

Elo over the last year

Jay FriendMitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. FriendM. Leong
Hard court28–1565%30–1961%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Jay Friend

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong