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WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Garland vs Inglis 2:0: result and our tips

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Joanna GarlandWTA #155Elo 1692hard 1691
2:0final6:1 6:3
Maddison InglisWTA #130Elo 1714hard 1708

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.5Won57%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Inglis: 9 matches in a row under 22.5 games; Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Garland 15 of 20, Inglis 14 of 20 (tour average 62%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Inglis: 9 matches in a row without a deciding set; No third set in recent matches: Garland 16 of 20, Inglis 15 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Joanna Garland44%
Maddison Inglis56%

Elo: J. Garland 48% · M. Inglis 53%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Garland29%
2:1 J. Garland18%
2:1 M. Inglis20%
2:0 M. Inglis33%

First set

Joanna Garland48%
Maddison Inglis52%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.537%64%32%

Sample: 2,405 matches

Games handicap

M. Inglis −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Joanna GarlandMaddison Inglis
6Aces3
4Double faults1
56%First serves in63%
69%First-serve points won56%
61%Second-serve points won24%
5/13Break points converted1/4
7/8Service games held3/8
65%Service points won44%
56%Return points won35%
72Total points won48

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. GarlandTourM. Inglis
Service points won61%56%59%
Return points won40%44%41%
Service games held71%63%69%
Breaks of serve30%37%30%
Aces per service game0.320.19
Double faults per game0.340.27
Sets with a tie-break12%14%
Tie-breaks won4/75/10
Wins in straight sets63%59%
Matches in the sample2731

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Joanna Garland

Maddison Inglis

Elo over the last year

Joanna GarlandMaddison Inglis

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. GarlandM. Inglis
Hard court14–767%15–963%
Clay0–10%0–20%
Grass2–340%2–340%

Head to head

They have not met yet.