Gea vs Humbert 2:1: result and our tips
·
Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Gea 53% · U. Humbert 47%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 69% | 31% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 63% | 37% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 56% | 44% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 48% | 52% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 44% | 56% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 41% | 59% | 34% |
| 26.5 | 36% | 64% | 30% |
Sample: 5,268 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 38%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 23.0in · 26 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Arthur Gea | Ugo Humbert | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Aces | 5 |
| 4 | Double faults | 3 |
| 63% | First serves in | 52% |
| 80% | First-serve points won | 68% |
| 52% | Second-serve points won | 54% |
| 4/6 | Break points converted | 2/5 |
| 11/13 | Service games held | 9/13 |
| 69% | Service points won | 62% |
| 38% | Return points won | 31% |
| 78 | Total points won | 67 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Gea | Tour | U. Humbert | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 67% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 81% | 76% | 85% |
| Breaks of serve | 27% | 24% | 18% |
| Aces per service game | 0.46 | 0.58 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.32 | 0.26 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 20/34 | 16/28 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 75% | |
| Matches in the sample | 70 | 56 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Arthur Gea
- 07/10/26WJaime Faria#60ATP Shanghai · R1286:7 6:1 6:2
- 02/10/26LHubert Hurkacz#34ATP Beijing · R166:7 7:6 2:6
- 30/09/26WZhizhen Zhang#166ATP Beijing · R326:4 6:3
- 29/09/26WTomáš Macháč#75ATP Beijing · Q26:3 6:4
- 28/09/26WRigele TE#849ATP Beijing · Q16:2 6:3
- 07/09/26LBotic Van de Zandschulp#41ATP US Open · R166:3 7:6 6:7 6:7 4:6
- 05/09/26WMichael Zheng#94ATP US Open · R327:6 3:6 4:6 6:3 6:2
- 03/09/26WZachary Svajda#82ATP US Open · R645:7 6:3 6:2 6:2
- 01/09/26WJuan Manuel Cerúndolo#55ATP US Open · R1286:3 2:6 3:6 6:3 6:1
- 28/08/26LNishesh Basavareddy#139ATP US Open · Q33:6 1:6
Ugo Humbert
- 03/10/26LJiří Lehečka#16ATP Tokyo · R167:5 4:6 4:6
- 01/10/26WBrandon Nakashima#19ATP Tokyo · R326:3 6:2
- 16/08/26LMichael Zheng#94ATP Cincinnati · R644:6 3:6
- 05/08/26LDaniel Merida#44ATP Montreal · R643:6 3:6
- 30/07/26LBen Shelton#4ATP Washington · R167:6 3:6 4:6
- 28/07/26WAndres Martin#338ATP Washington · R326:2 7:5
- 30/06/26LZizou Bergs#39ATP Wimbledon · R1282:6 5:7 6:4 6:3 3:6
- 27/06/26LZizou Bergs#39ATP Eastbourne · F6:3 1:6 4:6
- 26/06/26WJack Draper#158ATP Eastbourne · SF7:5 6:3
- 25/06/26WQuentin Halys#48ATP Eastbourne · QF6:3 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Gea | U. Humbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 33–979% | 19–1556% |
| Clay | 12–860% | 5–550% |
| Grass | 5–456% | 8–467% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Arthur Gea
- 07/10/26WJaime Faria#60ATP Shanghai · R1286:7 6:1 6:2
Ugo Humbert
First match in this tournament.