Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Gima vs Vives Marcos 0:2: result and our tips

·

Sebastian GimaATP #589Elo 1487clay 1507
0:2final6:7(7) 2:6
Pedro Vives MarcosATP #542Elo 1637clay 1634

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: Vives MarcosWon66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Gima lost the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches, Vives Marcos won the first set in 12 of the last 18 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Vives MarcosWon72%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 72%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Vives Marcos won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Sets: Over 2.5Lost36%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Gima: 3 matches in a row going the distance

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sebastian Gima28%
Pedro Vives Marcos72%

Elo: S. Gima 33% · P. Vives Marcos 67%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Gima15%
2:1 S. Gima13%
2:1 P. Vives Marcos23%
2:0 P. Vives Marcos49%

First set

Sebastian Gima34%
Pedro Vives Marcos66%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%76%
18.566%34%68%
19.558%42%59%
20.552%48%52%
21.546%54%47%
22.540%60%40%
23.537%63%36%

Sample: 3,583 matches

Games handicap

Pedro Vives Marcos −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 21 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Sebastian GimaPedro Vives Marcos
2Aces5
0Double faults3
66%First serves in68%
63%First-serve points won77%
44%Second-serve points won44%
1/2Break points converted3/7
7/10Service games held9/10
57%Service points won66%
34%Return points won43%
68Total points won83

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. GimaTourP. Vives Marcos
Service points won59%62%62%
Return points won39%38%42%
Service games held71%76%78%
Breaks of serve26%24%32%
Aces per service game0.260.33
Double faults per game0.250.28
Sets with a tie-break14%13%
Tie-breaks won4/93/6
Wins in straight sets64%62%
Matches in the sample2821

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sebastian Gima

  • 11/10/26WMaximus Jones#496Challenger Catania · Q16:2 3:6 6:3
  • 22/09/26LJonas Forejtek#343Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R324:6 6:4 3:6
  • 21/09/26WFilip Misolic#471Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q26:3 4:6 6:3
  • 20/09/26WAleksandar TolevChallenger Plovdiv 4 · Q16:1 6:3
  • 30/06/26LGuido Ivan Justo#188Challenger Brasov · R322:6 1:6
  • 29/06/26LRadu Albot#468Challenger Brasov · Q22:6 6:7
  • 28/06/26WStefan Adrian Andreescu#647Challenger Brasov · Q16:3 1:0
  • 24/06/26LAndrej Nedic#244Challenger Targu Mures · R167:6 3:6 5:7
  • 23/06/26WDenis Yevseyev#469Challenger Targu Mures · R327:6 6:3
  • 22/06/26LOriol Roca Batalla#312Challenger Targu Mures · Q23:6 4:6

Pedro Vives Marcos

Elo over the last year

Sebastian GimaPedro Vives Marcos

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. GimaP. Vives Marcos
Hard court1–517%5–456%
Clay10–1245%8–467%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Sebastian Gima

Pedro Vives Marcos