Challenger RoanneChallenger 125Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Gombos vs Catry 2:1: result and our tips

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Norbert GombosATP #355Elo 1704hard 1637
2:1final3:6 6:4 6:4
Robin CatryATP #586Elo 1478hard 1498

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost70%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Gombos: 8 matches in a row without a deciding set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Norbert Gombos81%
Robin Catry19%

Elo: N. Gombos 69% · R. Catry 31%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. Gombos60%
2:1 N. Gombos21%
2:1 R. Catry9%
2:0 R. Catry10%

First set

Norbert Gombos75%
Robin Catry25%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 56%market (no margin): 46%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.577%23%79%
18.568%32%71%
19.559%41%62%
20.550%50%54%
21.544%56%49%
22.538%63%42%
23.532%68%37%

Sample: 2,693 matches

Games handicap

Norbert Gombos −4.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 29 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Norbert GombosRobin Catry
3Aces8
3Double faults11
59%First serves in59%
77%First-serve points won78%
67%Second-serve points won42%
2/10Break points converted1/3
13/14Service games held13/15
73%Service points won63%
37%Return points won27%
98Total points won89

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. GombosTourR. Catry
Service points won63%62%64%
Return points won39%38%39%
Service games held78%76%80%
Breaks of serve25%24%24%
Aces per service game0.420.59
Double faults per game0.220.42
Sets with a tie-break17%22%
Tie-breaks won15/243/9
Wins in straight sets62%63%
Matches in the sample6317

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Norbert Gombos

Robin Catry

  • 11/10/26WGabriel GomezChallenger Roanne · Q16:2 6:3
  • 07/07/26LYi Zhou#277Challenger Nottingham 3 · R324:6 3:6
  • 06/04/26LKarl Poling#459Challenger Mexico City · Q24:6 7:6 1:6
  • 05/04/26WMauricio Schtulmann GascaChallenger Mexico City · Q16:1 6:1
  • 31/03/26LBeibit Zhukayev#503Challenger San Luis Potosi · R326:7 6:1 4:6
  • 24/03/26LTristan Schoolkate#155Challenger Morelia · R326:7 4:6
  • 23/03/26WMateus Alves#385Challenger Morelia · Q26:3 5:7 6:1
  • 23/03/26WRodrigo Alujas#760Challenger Morelia · Q16:3 6:7 7:5
  • 17/03/26LAlejandro HayenChallenger Morelos · R323:6 6:7
  • 16/03/26WJuan Sebastian Osorio#680Challenger Morelos · Q26:7 6:4 6:2

Elo over the last year

Norbert GombosRobin Catry

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. GombosR. Catry
Hard court8–850%7–654%
Clay29–1862%1–233%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Norbert Gombos

Robin Catry