ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Round of 64hardbest of three sets

Hanfmann vs Tiafoe 0:2: result and our tips

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Yannick HanfmannATP #57Elo 1954hard 1907
0:2final4:6 4:6
Frances TiafoeATP #10Elo 2132hard 2099

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: TiafoeWon67%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Hanfmann lost the first set in 10 of the last 20 matches, Tiafoe won the first set in 16 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 19.5Won75%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 68% → with the players' profiles 75%

    Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Hanfmann 16 of 20, Tiafoe 17 of 20 (tour average 67%)

  • Match Winner: TiafoeWon72%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 72%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Tiafoe won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Set Betting: Tiafoe 2-0Won48%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Hanfmann lost 0-2 in 6 of the last 20 matches, Tiafoe won 2-0 in 11 of the last 20 matches (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Yannick Hanfmann28%
Frances Tiafoe72%

Elo: Y. Hanfmann 25% · F. Tiafoe 75%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Hanfmann16%
2:1 Y. Hanfmann13%
2:1 F. Tiafoe23%
2:0 F. Tiafoe48%

First set

Yannick Hanfmann33%
Frances Tiafoe67%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 53%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.575%25%68%
20.567%33%59%
21.559%41%54%
22.553%47%45%
23.545%55%39%
24.539%61%38%
25.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,377 matches

Games handicap

Frances Tiafoe −3.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes51%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.5out · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Yannick HanfmannFrances Tiafoe
8Aces5
2Double faults0
60%First serves in58%
73%First-serve points won77%
55%Second-serve points won60%
1/3Break points converted3/3
7/10Service games held9/10
66%Service points won70%
31%Return points won34%
51Total points won58

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. HanfmannTourF. Tiafoe
Service points won68%62%66%
Return points won36%38%37%
Service games held85%76%84%
Breaks of serve19%24%22%
Aces per service game0.720.46
Double faults per game0.170.17
Sets with a tie-break29%20%
Tie-breaks won23/4319/35
Wins in straight sets64%51%
Matches in the sample6161

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yannick Hanfmann

Frances Tiafoe

Elo over the last year

Yannick HanfmannFrances Tiafoe

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. HanfmannF. Tiafoe
Hard court18–1260%27–1269%
Clay14–961%7–464%
Grass4–450%9–282%

Head to head

Y. Hanfmann 1–1 F. Tiafoe

  • 03/10/25Winner: Yannick Hanfmann6:7 6:2 6:1
  • 12/06/24Winner: Frances Tiafoe5:7 6:7

Road through the tournament

Yannick Hanfmann

Frances Tiafoe

First match in this tournament.

See also