Hardt vs Meligeni Alves 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 55% → with the players' profiles 59%
Meligeni Alves: 7 matches in a row under 22.5 games
Other tips
- Total Sets: Under 2.5Won63%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Meligeni Alves: 7 matches in a row without a deciding set
Where the number comes from: market alone 36% → with the players' profiles 40%
Meligeni Alves: 4 matches in a row under 19.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: N. Hardt 43% · F. Meligeni Alves 57%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 76% | 24% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 67% | 33% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 59% | 41% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 47% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 47% | 53% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 41% | 59% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 36% |
Sample: 4,047 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Under 21.0in · 18 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Nick Hardt | Felipe Meligeni Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 2 |
| 5 | Double faults | 2 |
| 60% | First serves in | 66% |
| 63% | First-serve points won | 74% |
| 44% | Second-serve points won | 55% |
| 0/0 | Break points converted | 3/8 |
| 6/9 | Service games held | 9/9 |
| 55% | Service points won | 68% |
| 32% | Return points won | 45% |
| 51 | Total points won | 66 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| N. Hardt | Tour | F. Meligeni Alves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 42% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 70% | 76% | 74% |
| Breaks of serve | 32% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.17 | 0.32 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.38 | 0.15 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/7 | 6/11 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 71% | |
| Matches in the sample | 27 | 30 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Nick Hardt
- 05/10/26WGonzalo Villanueva#323Challenger Antofagasta · R327:5 3:6 7:5
- 01/09/26LMarco Cecchinato#163Challenger Porto · R326:4 0:6 3:6
- 25/08/26LKai Wehnelt#613Challenger Augsburg · R326:2 3:6 2:6
- 19/08/26LOleksii Krutykh#456Challenger Prague · R163:6 0:6
- 17/08/26WJakub FilipChallenger Prague · R326:1 6:2
- 10/08/26LMarco Cecchinato#163Challenger Todi · R323:6 5:7
- 09/07/26LLorenzo Claverie#889Challenger Bogota · R166:7 6:7
- 07/07/26WAlex Hernandez#484Challenger Bogota · R327:6 4:6 6:2
- 26/06/26LJuan Manuel La Serna#285Challenger Piracicaba · QF2:6 0:3
- 26/06/26WWilson Leite#689Challenger Piracicaba · R166:3 6:1
Felipe Meligeni Alves
- 06/10/26WJuan Pablo Varillas#200Challenger Antofagasta · R326:3 6:1
- 30/09/26LGustavo Heide#116Challenger Curitiba · R163:6 4:6
- 29/09/26WCarlos Maria Zarate#352Challenger Curitiba · R326:4 6:2
- 08/09/26LHugo Dellien#128Challenger Genoa · R323:6 2:6
- 02/09/26LAlejo Sanchez Quilez#375Challenger Manacor · R325:7 4:6
- 24/08/26LDalibor Svrcina#126ATP US Open · Q13:6 4:6
- 20/08/26LMoise Kouame#201Challenger Cancun · R321:6 4:6
- 18/08/26WDali Blanch#325Challenger Cancun · Q26:7 7:6 6:2
- 17/08/26WLuka Pavlovic#207Challenger Cancun · Q17:6 7:6
- 08/07/26LLucas Andrade Da Silva#771Challenger Bogota · R166:4 4:6 6:7
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| N. Hardt | F. Meligeni Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–20% | 2–340% |
| Clay | 16–964% | 12–1250% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Nick Hardt
- 05/10/26WGonzalo Villanueva#323Challenger Antofagasta · R327:5 3:6 7:5
Felipe Meligeni Alves
- 06/10/26WJuan Pablo Varillas#200Challenger Antofagasta · R326:3 6:1