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Challenger SeoulChallenger 175Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Harris vs Shang 2:0: result and our tips

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Lloyd HarrisATP #108Elo 1951hard 1933
2:0final6:4 6:3
Juncheng ShangATP #250Elo 1882hard 1834

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: HarrisWon62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 62%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Harris won 8 of the last 10 matches; Shang lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: HarrisWon59%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Harris won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Shang lost the first set in 8 of the last 16 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Set Betting: Harris 2-0Won40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Harris won 2-0 in 12 of the last 20 matches, Shang lost 0-2 in 6 of the last 13 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lloyd Harris62%
Juncheng Shang38%

Elo: L. Harris 64% · J. Shang 36%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Harris40%
2:1 L. Harris22%
2:1 J. Shang16%
2:0 J. Shang22%

First set

Lloyd Harris59%
Juncheng Shang41%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.573%27%62%
20.565%35%54%
21.558%42%49%
22.552%48%42%
23.545%55%37%
24.541%60%35%
25.538%62%32%

Sample: 5,821 matches

Games handicap

L. Harris −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes45%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 22.5out · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Lloyd HarrisJuncheng Shang
10Aces2
2Double faults0
67%First serves in66%
79%First-serve points won69%
47%Second-serve points won21%
4/7Break points converted2/5
8/10Service games held5/9
68%Service points won53%
47%Return points won32%
65Total points won47

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. HarrisTourJ. Shang
Service points won67%62%63%
Return points won37%38%34%
Service games held85%76%78%
Breaks of serve25%24%18%
Aces per service game0.780.36
Double faults per game0.130.22
Sets with a tie-break18%17%
Tie-breaks won12/242/7
Wins in straight sets61%50%
Matches in the sample5616

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lloyd Harris

Juncheng Shang

Elo over the last year

Lloyd HarrisJuncheng Shang

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. HarrisJ. Shang
Hard court37–1079%6–1038%
Clay4–450%0–0
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also