Challenger CaliChallenger 75Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Hernandez Ramirez vs Leite 2:1: result and our tips

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2:1final4:6 6:4 7:5
Wilson LeiteATP #689Elo 1401clay 1409

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez37%
Wilson Leite63%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Hernandez Ramirez21%
2:1 S. Hernandez Ramirez16%
2:1 W. Leite23%
2:0 W. Leite41%

First set

Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez40%
Wilson Leite60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%68%
19.565%35%59%
20.558%42%52%
21.553%47%47%
22.545%55%40%
23.541%59%36%
24.539%61%34%

Sample: 4,751 matches

Games handicap

Wilson Leite −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 32 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Sergio Luis Hernandez RamirezWilson Leite
12Aces6
7Double faults3
50%First serves in46%
59%First-serve points won64%
49%Second-serve points won45%
7/16Break points converted6/10
10/16Service games held9/16
54%Service points won54%
46%Return points won46%
102Total points won103

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. Hernandez RamirezTourW. Leite
Service points won58%62%60%
Return points won38%38%40%
Service games held67%76%72%
Breaks of serve25%24%28%
Aces per service game0.320.16
Double faults per game0.260.19
Sets with a tie-break0%11%
Tie-breaks won0/04/8
Wins in straight sets—71%
Matches in the sample331

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez

Wilson Leite

  • 12/10/26LHernan Casanova#394Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q22:6 4:6
  • 11/10/26WLuis BrittoChallenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q16:1 6:2
  • 04/10/26LHernan Casanova#394Challenger Antofagasta · Q13:6 6:3 4:6
  • 29/09/26LBruno Fernandez#554Challenger Curitiba · R324:6 6:1 2:6
  • 28/09/26LLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#519Challenger Curitiba · Q21:6 6:7
  • 27/09/26WJustin Roberts#965Challenger Curitiba · Q16:2 6:4
  • 26/06/26LNick Hardt#297Challenger Piracicaba · R163:6 1:6
  • 25/06/26WFilipe BullamahChallenger Piracicaba · R326:0 6:3
  • 22/06/26WRafael Tosetto#861Challenger Piracicaba · Q26:3 4:6 7:6
  • 21/06/26WEnzo Camargo LimaChallenger Piracicaba · Q16:2 6:2

Elo over the last year

Sergio Luis Hernandez RamirezWilson Leite

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. Hernandez RamirezW. Leite
Hard court0–01–150%
Clay0–30%13–1645%

Head to head

They have not met yet.