ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Round of 128hardbest of three sets

Hijikata vs Safiullin 0:2: result and our tips

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Rinky HijikataATP #85Elo 1910hard 1878
0:2final5:7 3:6
Roman SafiullinATP #79Elo 1990hard 1930

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Rinky Hijikata27%
Roman Safiullin73%

Elo: R. Hijikata 43% · R. Safiullin 57%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Hijikata15%
2:1 R. Hijikata13%
2:1 R. Safiullin23%
2:0 R. Safiullin49%

First set

Rinky Hijikata32%
Roman Safiullin68%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%30%67%
20.562%38%59%
21.556%44%54%
22.548%52%45%
23.541%59%39%
24.538%62%38%
25.535%65%34%

Sample: 4,160 matches

Games handicap

Roman Safiullin −3.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes44%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 21 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Rinky HijikataRoman Safiullin
5Aces6
3Double faults1
69%First serves in63%
70%First-serve points won81%
37%Second-serve points won59%
1/2Break points converted3/6
7/10Service games held10/11
60%Service points won73%
27%Return points won40%
53Total points won68

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. HijikataTourR. Safiullin
Service points won62%62%66%
Return points won38%38%38%
Service games held77%76%83%
Breaks of serve23%24%24%
Aces per service game0.380.48
Double faults per game0.210.21
Sets with a tie-break20%17%
Tie-breaks won25/3915/24
Wins in straight sets57%55%
Matches in the sample8154

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Rinky Hijikata

Roman Safiullin

Elo over the last year

Rinky HijikataRoman Safiullin

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. HijikataR. Safiullin
Hard court34–2360%9–853%
Clay6–746%20–483%
Grass7–464%9–469%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Rinky Hijikata

First match in this tournament.

Roman Safiullin