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Challenger SeoulChallenger 175Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Hong vs Wu 2:0: result and our tips

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Seongchan HongElo 1702hard 1685
2:0final7:5 6:1
Yibing WuATP #107Elo 1861hard 1858

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won73%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No third set in recent matches: Hong 5 of 5, Wu 16 of 20 (tour average 66%); Wu: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 23.5Won71%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Hong 5 of 5, Wu 14 of 20 (tour average 63%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Seongchan Hong15%
Yibing Wu85%

Elo: S. Hong 27% · Y. Wu 73%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Hong8%
2:1 S. Hong7%
2:1 Y. Wu20%
2:0 Y. Wu64%

First set

Seongchan Hong22%
Yibing Wu78%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes27%
no73%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 19.5 · 54%market (no margin): 50%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.583%18%88%
17.573%28%79%
18.563%37%71%
19.554%46%62%
20.546%54%54%
21.540%60%49%
22.533%67%42%

Sample: 2,233 matches

Games handicap

Y. Wu −4.557%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 19.5out · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Seongchan HongYibing Wu
7Aces1
3Double faults2
49%First serves in44%
74%First-serve points won50%
53%Second-serve points won52%
5/12Break points converted2/9
8/10Service games held4/9
63%Service points won51%
49%Return points won37%
74Total points won56

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. HongTourY. Wu
Service points won59%62%64%
Return points won38%38%39%
Service games held71%76%80%
Breaks of serve20%24%24%
Aces per service game0.380.40
Double faults per game0.310.20
Sets with a tie-break20%18%
Tie-breaks won1/212/21
Wins in straight sets100%86%
Matches in the sample549

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Seongchan Hong

Yibing Wu

Elo over the last year

Seongchan HongYibing Wu

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. HongY. Wu
Hard court1–420%18–1260%
Clay0–09–469%
Grass0–01–517%

Head to head

They have not met yet.