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WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Iatcenko vs Shubladze 2:1: result and our tips

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Polina IatcenkoWTA #147Elo 1662hard 1645
2:1final6:3 2:6 6:4
Alexandra ShubladzeWTA #133Elo 1731hard 1725

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: ShubladzeLost67%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 67%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Shubladze: 5 wins in a row; Shubladze won 7 of the last 10 matches

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost64%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Iatcenko 16 of 20, Shubladze 9 of 12 (tour average 66%)

Long shot
Set Betting: Shubladze 2-0Lost44%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Iatcenko lost 0-2 in 8 of the last 20 matches, Shubladze won 2-0 in 6 of the last 12 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Polina Iatcenko33%
Alexandra Shubladze67%

Elo: P. Iatcenko 39% · A. Shubladze 61%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Iatcenko19%
2:1 P. Iatcenko15%
2:1 A. Shubladze22%
2:0 A. Shubladze44%

First set

Polina Iatcenko37%
Alexandra Shubladze63%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 49%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.577%23%72%
18.568%32%64%
19.560%40%56%
20.553%47%49%
21.547%53%44%
22.541%59%38%
23.537%63%34%

Sample: 2,129 matches

Games handicap

A. Shubladze −3.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 27 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Polina IatcenkoAlexandra Shubladze
4Aces0
5Double faults9
67%First serves in53%
56%First-serve points won63%
42%Second-serve points won37%
7/12Break points converted6/11
7/13Service games held7/14
51%Service points won51%
50%Return points won49%
85Total points won84

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. IatcenkoTourA. Shubladze
Service points won57%56%56%
Return points won43%44%48%
Service games held63%63%66%
Breaks of serve38%37%47%
Aces per service game0.200.08
Double faults per game0.390.36
Sets with a tie-break10%26%
Tie-breaks won4/71/7
Wins in straight sets63%75%
Matches in the sample3112

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Polina Iatcenko

Alexandra Shubladze

Elo over the last year

Polina IatcenkoAlexandra Shubladze

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. IatcenkoA. Shubladze
Hard court14–1254%8–373%
Clay0–20%0–0
Grass2–167%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also