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Challenger Sioux FallsChallenger 125Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Johnson vs Braswell 2:0: result and our tips

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Spencer JohnsonATP #436Elo 1626hard 1615
2:0final6:1 6:4
Jonah BraswellElo 1439hard 1438

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Spencer Johnson73%
Jonah Braswell27%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Johnson51%
2:1 S. Johnson22%
2:1 J. Braswell12%
2:0 J. Braswell15%

First set

Spencer Johnson68%
Jonah Braswell33%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 48%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%71%
19.563%37%62%
20.555%45%54%
21.549%51%49%
22.543%57%42%
23.537%63%37%
24.535%65%35%

Sample: 4,154 matches

Games handicap

S. Johnson −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes32%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Spencer JohnsonJonah Braswell
11Aces2
0Double faults2
56%First serves in65%
96%First-serve points won65%
88%Second-serve points won50%
3/4Break points converted0/0
9/9Service games held5/8
92%Service points won60%
40%Return points won8%
52Total points won27

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. JohnsonTourJ. Braswell
Service points won65%62%—
Return points won38%38%—
Service games held81%76%—
Breaks of serve25%24%—
Aces per service game0.56—
Double faults per game0.24—
Sets with a tie-break26%—
Tie-breaks won6/13—
Wins in straight sets67%—
Matches in the sample21—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Spencer Johnson

  • 18/10/26LErik Arutiunian#573Challenger Fort Worth · Q15:7 6:1 5:7
  • 22/09/26LTristan Boyer#195Challenger San Diego 2 · R326:7 1:6
  • 21/09/26WJakub VrbaChallenger San Diego 2 · Q26:2 6:4
  • 20/09/26WJan KobierskiChallenger San Diego 2 · Q17:6 6:3
  • 14/09/26LErik Arutiunian#573Challenger Tiburon · Q26:7 6:7
  • 13/09/26WVignesh Gogineni#754Challenger Tiburon · Q16:1 6:7 6:1
  • 24/08/26LCristian Garin#171ATP US Open · Q16:7 6:4 6:7
  • 08/08/26LAndre Ilagan#199Challenger Lexington · SF4:6 4:6
  • 07/08/26WAndres Martin#354Challenger Lexington · QF4:6 7:6 6:3
  • 06/08/26WJay Friend#266Challenger Lexington · R166:3 6:0

Jonah Braswell

Elo over the last year

Spencer JohnsonJonah Braswell

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. JohnsonJ. Braswell
Hard court12–957%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.