Kachmazov vs Shin: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 10h 35mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: A. Kachmazov 84% · W. Shin 16%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 80% | 20% | 88% |
| 17.5 | 70% | 30% | 80% |
| 18.5 | 60% | 40% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 51% | 49% | 63% |
| 20.5 | 43% | 57% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 37% | 63% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 31% | 69% | 42% |
Sample: 1,780 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Kachmazov | Tour | W. Shin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 70% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 20% |
| Aces per service game | 0.63 | 0.36 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 34% | 9% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 10/13 | 0/1 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 0% | |
| Matches in the sample | 15 | 5 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alibek Kachmazov
- 25/10/26WDong Ju Kim#729Challenger Seoul · Q14:6 6:3 6:1
- 13/10/26LJay Friend#272Challenger Jinan · R327:6 5:7 3:6
- 11/10/26WJay Friend#272Challenger Wuning 3 · F4:6 7:6 7:6
- 10/10/26WOmar Jasika#388Challenger Wuning 3 · SF7:6 6:3
- 09/10/26WFajing Sun#296Challenger Wuning 3 · QF6:3 6:4
- 08/10/26WEvan Zhu#462Challenger Wuning 3 · R167:6 7:6
- 06/10/26WCharles Broom#264Challenger Wuning 3 · R324:6 7:6 6:4
- 05/10/26WGrigoriy Lomakin#851Challenger Wuning 3 · Q26:1 6:1
- 04/10/26WYan Lang ChenChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:1 6:2
- 07/09/26LGabriel Ghetu#566Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q26:7 6:2 4:6
Woobin Shin
- 25/10/26WThomas Fancutt#685Challenger Seoul · Q16:0 6:7 6:3
- 19/04/26LRenta Tokuda#835Challenger Gwangju · Q12:6 1:6
- 12/04/26LTung-Lin Wu#353Challenger Busan · Q13:6 3:6
- 18/11/25LMichael Vrbensky#668Challenger Yokohama · R323:6 3:6
- 28/10/25LMarc-Andrea Huesler#277Challenger Seoul · R324:6 2:6
- 26/08/25LSanhui Shin#619Challenger Zhangjiagang · R325:7 6:7
- 31/07/25LAbdullah Shelbayh#306Challenger Astana · R166:4 3:6 0:0
- 29/07/25WArda Azkara#801Challenger Astana · R326:3 7:5
- 04/05/25LShintaro ImaiChallenger Wuxi · Q12:6 4:6
- 20/04/25LDurasovic#485Challenger Gwangju · Q17:6 6:7 0:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Kachmazov | W. Shin | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 9–660% | 1–420% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Alibek Kachmazov
- 25/10/26WDong Ju Kim#729Challenger Seoul · Q14:6 6:3 6:1
Woobin Shin
- 25/10/26WThomas Fancutt#685Challenger Seoul · Q16:0 6:7 6:3