Kalieva vs Korpatsch 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Korpatsch: 6 matches in a row over 18.5 games
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
A third set in recent matches: Kalieva 10 of 20, Korpatsch 7 of 20 (tour average 33%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: E. Kalieva 49% · T. Korpatsch 51%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 68% | 32% | 60% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 52% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 47% | 46% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 41% |
| 22.5 | 44% | 56% | 37% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 33% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 31% |
Sample: 2,212 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 21%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 21.0in · 25 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Elvina Kalieva | Tamara Korpatsch | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aces | 1 |
| 4 | Double faults | 4 |
| 55% | First serves in | 73% |
| 57% | First-serve points won | 46% |
| 33% | Second-serve points won | 45% |
| 8/12 | Break points converted | 6/8 |
| 6/12 | Service games held | 5/13 |
| 46% | Service points won | 46% |
| 54% | Return points won | 54% |
| 71 | Total points won | 70 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| E. Kalieva | Tour | T. Korpatsch | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 58% | 56% | 55% |
| Return points won | 44% | 44% | 46% |
| Service games held | 66% | 63% | 62% |
| Breaks of serve | 35% | 37% | 41% |
| Aces per service game | 0.35 | 0.14 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.36 | 0.32 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 7% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/14 | 4/11 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 49% | |
| Matches in the sample | 54 | 63 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Elvina Kalieva
- 05/10/26WYexin Ma#184WTA 125 Suzhou · R326:3 6:4
- 30/09/26LViktorija Golubic#72WTA Beijing · R1283:6 1:6
- 29/09/26LHan Shi#217WTA Beijing · Q27:6 5:7 3:6
- 28/09/26WEllen PerezWTA Beijing · Q16:2 6:4
- 21/09/26LKatie Volynets#88WTA Seoul · R323:6 0:6
- 14/09/26LKayla Day#119WTA Guadalajara · R326:7 4:6
- 30/08/26LLanlana Tararudee#60WTA US Open · R1283:6 7:6 2:6
- 28/08/26WVendula Valdmannova#162WTA US Open · Q35:7 6:4 6:4
- 26/08/26WSofia Costoulas#159WTA US Open · Q23:6 6:3 6:4
- 25/08/26WKristina Mladenovic#803WTA US Open · Q16:2 1:6 6:1
Tamara Korpatsch
- 06/10/26WJia-Jing Lu#371WTA 125 Suzhou · R326:2 7:5
- 30/09/26LTaylah Preston#86WTA Beijing · R1282:6 6:7
- 31/08/26LLilli Tagger#55WTA US Open · R1280:6 6:7
- 16/08/26LIva Jovic#11WTA Cincinnati · R644:6 3:6
- 14/08/26WMaya Joint#92WTA Cincinnati · R1280:6 6:3 6:4
- 03/08/26LRenata Zarazua#85WTA Toronto · R1284:6 6:0 1:6
- 26/07/26WAnna Bondar#66WTA Hamburg · F6:3 6:3
- 25/07/26WMaiar Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz#52WTA Hamburg · SF6:1 2:0
- 24/07/26WAnhelina Kalinina#48WTA Hamburg · QF6:3 1:6 6:1
- 22/07/26WJulia Stusek#394WTA Hamburg · R166:0 3:6 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| E. Kalieva | T. Korpatsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 20–1361% | 16–1355% |
| Clay | 9–756% | 21–970% |
| Grass | 2–340% | 0–40% |
Head to head
E. Kalieva 0–1 T. Korpatsch
- 17/09/25Winner: Tamara Korpatsch3:6 4:6
Road through the tournament
Elvina Kalieva
- 05/10/26WYexin Ma#184WTA 125 Suzhou · R326:3 6:4
Tamara Korpatsch
- 06/10/26WJia-Jing Lu#371WTA 125 Suzhou · R326:2 7:5