ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Round of 64hardbest of three sets

Kecmanovic vs Menšík 0:2: result and our tips

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Miomir KecmanovicATP #61Elo 1867hard 1824
0:2final3:6 3:6
Jakub MenšíkATP #15Elo 2061hard 2041

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 21.5Lost56%

Where the number comes from: market alone 53% → with the players' profiles 56%

Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Kecmanovic 13 of 20, Mensik 14 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 26.5Lost32%

Where the number comes from: market alone 30% → with the players' profiles 32%

Over 26.5 games in recent matches: Kecmanovic 8 of 20, Mensik 10 of 20 (tour average 30%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Miomir Kecmanovic26%
Jakub Menšík75%

Elo: M. Kecmanovic 22% · J. Menšík 78%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Kecmanovic14%
2:1 M. Kecmanovic13%
2:1 J. Menšík22%
2:0 J. Menšík51%

First set

Miomir Kecmanovic31%
Jakub Menšík69%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.572%28%67%
20.563%37%59%
21.556%44%54%
22.549%51%45%
23.542%58%39%
24.538%62%38%
25.536%64%34%

Sample: 3,834 matches

Games handicap

Jakub Menšík −3.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes46%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Miomir KecmanovicJakub Menšík
4Aces14
0Double faults1
69%First serves in60%
81%First-serve points won89%
25%Second-serve points won63%
0/0Break points converted3/3
6/9Service games held9/9
64%Service points won79%
21%Return points won37%
43Total points won56

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. KecmanovicTourJ. Menšík
Service points won64%62%66%
Return points won37%38%37%
Service games held79%76%84%
Breaks of serve21%24%21%
Aces per service game0.380.80
Double faults per game0.190.30
Sets with a tie-break18%21%
Tie-breaks won14/2719/29
Wins in straight sets58%55%
Matches in the sample5648

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Miomir Kecmanovic

Jakub Menšík

Elo over the last year

Miomir KecmanovicJakub Menšík

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. KecmanovicJ. Menšík
Hard court16–2044%24–973%
Clay8–753%8–467%
Grass2–340%1–233%

Head to head

M. Kecmanovic 0–2 J. Menšík

  • 26/09/25Winner: Jakub Menšík5:7 4:6
  • 24/10/24Winner: Jakub Menšík3:6 6:7

Road through the tournament

Miomir Kecmanovic

Jakub Menšík

First match in this tournament.