Khachanov vs Fery 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Khachanov won the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Fery lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Other tips
- Total Games: Over 19.5Won73%
Where the number comes from: market alone 70% → with the players' profiles 73%
Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Khachanov 15 of 20, Fery 16 of 20 (tour average 68%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 40% → with the players' profiles 46%
A tie-break in recent matches: Khachanov 12 of 20, Fery 10 of 20 (tour average 38%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: K. Khachanov 57% · A. Fery 43%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 73% | 27% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 65% | 35% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 58% | 42% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 51% | 49% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 43% | 57% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 34% |
Sample: 4,768 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 38%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 22.5in · 39 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Karen Khachanov | Arthur Fery | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Aces | 6 |
| 2 | Double faults | 7 |
| 71% | First serves in | 66% |
| 65% | First-serve points won | 69% |
| 55% | Second-serve points won | 53% |
| 3/13 | Break points converted | 3/11 |
| 15/18 | Service games held | 15/18 |
| 62% | Service points won | 63% |
| 37% | Return points won | 38% |
| 135 | Total points won | 138 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Khachanov | Tour | A. Fery | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 67% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 85% | 76% | 80% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.56 | 0.32 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.15 | 0.15 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/27 | 11/23 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 45% | |
| Matches in the sample | 48 | 63 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Karen Khachanov
- 04/10/26LHubert Hurkacz#34ATP Beijing · QF6:7 2:6
- 02/10/26WAlex Molcan#84ATP Beijing · R167:5 6:3
- 30/09/26WFelix Auger-Aliassime#5ATP Beijing · R326:3 6:3
- 11/09/26LAlexander Zverev#2ATP US Open · SF3:6 6:7 6:7
- 09/09/26WAlexander Blockx#28ATP US Open · QF6:2 7:5 3:2
- 07/09/26WLearner Tien#17ATP US Open · R167:5 4:6 6:7 6:1 6:4
- 05/09/26WBenjamin Bonzi#92ATP US Open · R326:3 6:2 6:4
- 03/09/26WFelix Auger-Aliassime#5ATP US Open · R646:7 6:3 6:2 6:2
- 31/08/26WRoman Andres Burruchaga#62ATP US Open · R1286:3 6:0 6:1
- 15/08/26LAleksandar Kovacevic#81ATP Cincinnati · R1287:5 3:6 6:7
Arthur Fery
- 07/10/26WMarin Cilic#80ATP Shanghai · R1287:6 6:1
- 01/10/26LJaime Faria#60ATP Tokyo · R324:6 6:3 4:6
- 01/09/26LLorenzo Musetti#25ATP US Open · R1283:6 3:6 5:7
- 29/08/26LIgnacio Buse#36ATP Winston Salem · F3:6 2:6
- 28/08/26WJames Duckworth#64ATP Winston Salem · SF6:4 1:2
- 28/08/26WAleksandar Kovacevic#81ATP Winston Salem · QF3:6 7:5 6:3
- 26/08/26WMees Rottgering#327ATP Winston Salem · R166:3 6:3
- 25/08/26WCruz Hewitt#331ATP Winston Salem · R326:1 7:5
- 17/08/26LAlex de Minaur#9ATP Cincinnati · R325:7 6:7
- 15/08/26WJames Duckworth#64ATP Cincinnati · R646:4 2:6 7:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Khachanov | A. Fery | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 16–1552% | 25–1268% |
| Clay | 7–654% | 6–555% |
| Grass | 2–250% | 11–473% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Karen Khachanov
First match in this tournament.
Arthur Fery
- 07/10/26WMarin Cilic#80ATP Shanghai · R1287:6 6:1