Challenger Santa Cruz 2Challenger 75Round of 16claybest of three sets

Kicker vs Mena 2:0: result and our tips

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Nicolas KickerATP #330Elo 1674clay 1682
2:0final7:6(4) 6:4
Facundo MenaATP #198Elo 1754clay 1772

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: MenaLost61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 61%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Mena: 10 wins in a row; Mena won 10 of the last 10 matches

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: MenaLost59%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Mena: 8 matches in a row winning the first set

  • Total Games: Under 23.5Won60%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Kicker 16 of 20, Mena 16 of 20 (tour average 64%); Mena: 6 matches in a row under 23.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Lost44%

Where the number comes from: market alone 42% → with the players' profiles 44%

Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Kicker 12 of 20, Mena 11 of 20 (tour average 48%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Nicolas Kicker41%
Facundo Mena59%

Elo: N. Kicker 37% · F. Mena 63%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. Kicker23%
2:1 N. Kicker17%
2:1 F. Mena22%
2:0 F. Mena38%

First set

Nicolas Kicker42%
Facundo Mena58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%30%68%
19.562%38%59%
20.556%44%52%
21.549%51%47%
22.544%56%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,884 matches

Games handicap

Facundo Mena −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Nicolas KickerFacundo Mena
0Aces3
5Double faults5
74%First serves in57%
59%First-serve points won56%
65%Second-serve points won58%
4/6Break points converted3/11
8/11Service games held7/11
60%Service points won57%
43%Return points won40%
78Total points won72

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. KickerTourF. Mena
Service points won60%62%63%
Return points won42%38%39%
Service games held72%76%80%
Breaks of serve33%24%26%
Aces per service game0.140.61
Double faults per game0.190.27
Sets with a tie-break4%16%
Tie-breaks won1/59/22
Wins in straight sets71%73%
Matches in the sample5860

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Nicolas Kicker

  • 13/10/26WThiago Cigarran#587Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R326:3 6:2
  • 05/10/26LThiago Cigarran#587Challenger Antofagasta · Q23:6 0:3
  • 04/10/26WMilledge CossuChallenger Antofagasta · Q16:3 6:4
  • 25/09/26LFacundo Mena#198Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · QF4:6 4:6
  • 23/09/26WHugo Dellien#118Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R164:6 7:5 6:0
  • 22/09/26WTomas Martinez#792Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R321:6 6:2 6:0
  • 16/08/26LMaxim Mrva#234Challenger Todi · F2:6 2:6
  • 15/08/26WMarco Cecchinato#164Challenger Todi · SF6:4 4:6 6:2
  • 14/08/26WFrancesco Passaro#146Challenger Todi · QF6:4 6:1
  • 13/08/26WThomas Faurel#321Challenger Todi · R166:4 6:4

Facundo Mena

Elo over the last year

Nicolas KickerFacundo Mena

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. KickerF. Mena
Hard court1–150%4–544%
Clay30–2654%33–1865%

Head to head

N. Kicker 3–1 F. Mena

  • 25/09/26Winner: Facundo Mena4:6 4:6
  • 03/11/25Winner: Nicolas Kicker3:6 6:2 6:3
  • 07/03/22Winner: Nicolas Kicker6:3 6:4
  • 14/03/21Winner: Nicolas Kicker6:4 3:6 7:6

Road through the tournament

Nicolas Kicker

Facundo Mena