Challenger SeoulChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Kikuchi vs Sakellaridis 2:1: result and our tips

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Yuta KikuchiATP #938Elo 1470hard 1469
2:1final6:1 6:7(7) 7:5
Dimitris SakellaridisATP #537Elo 1566hard 1477

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Kikuchi: 10 matches in a row without a deciding set; No third set in recent matches: Kikuchi 12 of 14, Sakellaridis 14 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Yuta Kikuchi32%
Dimitris Sakellaridis68%

Elo: Y. Kikuchi 49% · D. Sakellaridis 51%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Kikuchi18%
2:1 Y. Kikuchi14%
2:1 D. Sakellaridis22%
2:0 D. Sakellaridis46%

First set

Yuta Kikuchi37%
Dimitris Sakellaridis63%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%79%
18.566%34%71%
19.558%42%62%
20.553%47%54%
21.546%54%49%
22.540%60%42%
23.538%62%37%

Sample: 5,049 matches

Games handicap

Dimitris Sakellaridis −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 32 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Yuta KikuchiDimitris Sakellaridis
7Aces4
4Double faults3
62%First serves in59%
68%First-serve points won61%
51%Second-serve points won46%
7/14Break points converted4/17
12/16Service games held8/15
62%Service points won55%
45%Return points won38%
126Total points won107

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. KikuchiTourD. Sakellaridis
Service points won60%62%57%
Return points won40%38%42%
Service games held72%76%67%
Breaks of serve27%24%34%
Aces per service game0.270.27
Double faults per game0.200.29
Sets with a tie-break3%6%
Tie-breaks won1/11/3
Wins in straight sets75%58%
Matches in the sample1423

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yuta Kikuchi

  • 06/10/26LJay Friend#266Challenger Wuning 3 · R321:6 4:6
  • 05/10/26WRyuki Matsuda#659Challenger Wuning 3 · Q26:2 6:3
  • 04/10/26WKosuke Ogura#794Challenger Wuning 3 · Q17:6 6:3
  • 15/09/26LBernard Tomic#179Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R320:6 2:6
  • 14/09/26WTsung-Hao Huang#919Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q27:5 6:1
  • 13/09/26WMikalai Haliak#902Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q15:0
  • 13/04/26LDaniil Ostapenkov#546Challenger Wuning 2 · Q22:6 2:6
  • 12/04/26WQian Sun#890Challenger Wuning 2 · Q17:5 6:3
  • 30/03/26LJi Sung Nam#821Challenger Miyazaki · Q24:6 4:6
  • 29/03/26WRyuki Matsuda#659Challenger Miyazaki · Q16:3 6:2

Dimitris Sakellaridis

  • 22/10/26LOriol Roca Batalla#288Challenger Florence · R161:6 4:6
  • 20/10/26WJay Clarke#239Challenger Florence · R327:5 4:6 6:2
  • 19/10/26WSergi Perez Contri#434Challenger Florence · Q23:6 6:4 6:3
  • 18/10/26WMattia NannelliChallenger Florence · Q17:5 6:3
  • 11/10/26LOleksandr Ovcharenko#623Challenger Catania · Q11:6 3:6
  • 06/10/26LZdenek Kolar#203Challenger Palermo · R324:6 4:6
  • 05/10/26WM. Cerny#691Challenger Palermo · Q23:6 6:1 7:6
  • 04/10/26WRobert Guna#857Challenger Palermo · Q17:5 6:4
  • 28/09/26LM. W. Donald#348Challenger Bari · Q25:7 6:7
  • 27/09/26WFilippo Francesco GarberoChallenger Bari · Q17:5 6:1

Elo over the last year

Yuta KikuchiDimitris Sakellaridis

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. KikuchiD. Sakellaridis
Hard court8–753%1–325%
Clay0–011–858%

Head to head

They have not met yet.