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WTA TokyoWTA 500Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Kinoshita vs Putintseva 0:2: result and our tips

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Hayu KinoshitaWTA #216Elo 1409hard 1402
0:2final5:7 2:6
Yulia PutintsevaWTA #67Elo 1829hard 1817

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Set Betting: Putintseva 2-0Won73%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Kinoshita lost 0-2 in 8 of the last 14 matches, Putintseva won 2-0 in 9 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 16.5Won69%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Kinoshita: 10 matches in a row over 16.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Hayu Kinoshita10%
Yulia Putintseva90%

Elo: H. Kinoshita 8% · Y. Putintseva 92%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Kinoshita5%
2:1 H. Kinoshita5%
2:1 Y. Putintseva18%
2:0 Y. Putintseva72%

First set

Hayu Kinoshita18%
Yulia Putintseva83%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes22%
no78%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 18.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.581%19%89%
16.569%31%82%
17.560%40%72%
18.549%51%63%
19.541%59%55%
20.534%66%49%
21.530%70%44%

Sample: 890 matches

Games handicap

Y. Putintseva −6.545%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes16%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 18.5out · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Hayu KinoshitaYulia Putintseva
1Aces0
4Double faults1
73%First serves in88%
51%First-serve points won60%
42%Second-serve points won71%
3/6Break points converted6/11
4/10Service games held7/10
49%Service points won61%
39%Return points won51%
57Total points won72

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. KinoshitaTourY. Putintseva
Service points won55%56%56%
Return points won43%44%46%
Service games held60%63%64%
Breaks of serve34%37%40%
Aces per service game0.160.13
Double faults per game0.290.19
Sets with a tie-break3%10%
Tie-breaks won0/17/13
Wins in straight sets80%74%
Matches in the sample1455

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Hayu Kinoshita

Yulia Putintseva

Elo over the last year

Hayu KinoshitaYulia Putintseva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. KinoshitaY. Putintseva
Hard court4–736%19–1458%
Clay0–012–860%
Grass1–233%0–20%

Head to head

They have not met yet.